A Test of Rivaling Approaches to Explain News Effects: News on Issue Positions of Parties, Real-World Developments, Support and Criticism, and Success and Failure

Kleinnijenhuis, J.; Hoof, A.M.J. van; Oegema, D.; Ridder, J.A. de

doi:10.1111/j.1460-2466.2007.00347.x

Cited by 70 publications

(58 citation statements)

References 26 publications

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“…The news media provide citizens with information on politics, political events, political candidates, and political parties’ policy positions, especially during electoral campaigns (e.g., Aalberg, van Aelst, & Curran, 2010; Banducci, Giebler, & Kritzinger, 2017; Barabas & Jerit, 2009; Kleinnijenhuis et al, 2007; Druckman, 2004, 2005; Norris, 2002). However, not all political parties or candidates will be treated in the same way by all media outlets: Some will receive more attention than others (visibility bias); others will be criticized more severely for their actions and plans (tonality bias; see Eberl, Boomgaarden, & Wagner, 2015; Hopmann, van Aelst, & Legnante, 2011).…”

Section: Media and Party Communication Effects On Changes In Voting Pmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, undecided voters often develop a particular party preference during the election campaign. While previous research has examined the impact of electoral campaigns on vote choice (e.g., Boomgaarden et al, 2016; Dilliplane, 2014; Druckman, 2004, 2005; Hillygus & Jackman, 2003; Kleinnijenhuis, Van Hoof, Oegema, & de Ridder, 2007; Lengauer & Johann, 2013; Matthews & Johnston, 2010; Schmitt-Beck, 2003), it is yet largely unknown what affects these intra-campaign changes in voting preferences.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Johann

Königslöw

Kritzinger

et al. 2017

Political Communication

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An increasing number of citizens change and adapt their party preferences during the electoral campaign. We analyze which short-term factors explain intra-campaign changes in voting preferences, focusing on the visibility and tone of news media reporting and party canvassing. Our analyses rely on an integrative data approach, linking data from media content analysis to public opinion data. This enables us to investigate the relative impact of news media reporting as well as party communication. Inherently, we overcome previously identified methodological problems in the study of communication effects on voting behavior. Our findings reveal that campaigns matter: Especially interpersonal party canvassing increases voters’ likelihood to change their voting preferences in favor of the respective party, whereas media effects are limited to quality news outlets and depend on individual voters’ party ambivalence.

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Section: Media and Party Communication Effects On Changes In Voting Pmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Johann

Königslöw

Kritzinger

et al. 2017

Political Communication

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“…The effect of evaluative news on the vote or, more specifically, on vote change has been studied less extensively (Balmas & Sheafer, 2010;Hopmann et al, 2010;Kleinnijenhuis et al, 2007). Yet, the affective priming hypothesis can easily be extended to voting behavior, since the evaluation of party (or candidate) correlates highly with voting for or against a party (Brosius & Kepplinger, 1992; Iyengar & Kinder, 1987, pp.…”

Section: Parties In the News And Vote Switchingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The missing link between issue news and volatility is thus the party: the impact of issue news on vote switching is dependent upon the issue discussed, because different issues are perceived to be owned by different parties. These assumptions have been tested on the aggregate level, looking at vote choice (Kleinnijenhuis & De Ridder, 1998;Kleinnijenhuis, Van Hoof, Oegema, & De Ridder, 2007;Sheafer & Weimann, 2005), but not on the individual level focusing on vote switching.Contest or strategic news in itself also does not explain why voters might change their vote choice (as is assumed in Adriaansen et al, 2012;Takens, 2013). Again, for these types of news the missing link between news coverage on the one hand, and vote switching on the other, is the party.…”

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confidence: 99%

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confidence: 99%

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Priming Issues, Party Visibility, and Party Evaluations: The Impact on Vote Switching

Geers¹,

Bos

2016

Political Communication

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Voter volatility has become a hallmark of Western democracies in the past three decades. At the same time short-term factors-such as the media's coverage of issues, parties, and candidates during an election campaign-have become more important for voters' decisions. While previous research did look at how campaign news in general affects electoral volatility in general, it has omitted to explicitly test the mechanisms underlying these effects. Building on theories of agenda setting, (affective) priming, and issue ownership, the current study aims to explain why certain news aspects lead voters to switch their vote choice. We theorize it is the visibility of a party, the evaluation of a party, and the attention for issues owned by a party that primes voters to switch to a certain party. We use national panel survey data (N = 765) and link this to an extensive content analysis of campaign news on television and in newspapers in the run up to the 2012 Dutch national elections. The results show that issue news leads to vote change in the direction of the party that owns the issue. Even stronger is the effect of party visibility on vote switching. Our results, however, find the strongest support for the effect of party evaluations on vote change: More favorable news about a party increases switching to that party. Keywords campaign news, content analysis, media effects, panel data, voting behaviorIn the past three decades the number of floating voters in Western democracies has increased considerably. The linkages between parties and citizens are of declining importance (Dalton & Wattenberg, 2000) and voters make more independent political choices instead of relying on traditional loyalties (Van der Meer, Van Elsas, Lubbe, & Van der Brug, 2013). As a consequence, citizens switch more often between parties than they did before, not only between elections, but also during election campaigns. With the decline in voter loyalty, sociological determinants have lost much of their predictive power (Dalton, 2013 Marks, 1999; Van der Meer et al., 2013) and results are scattered. Some report positive correlations between media use and volatility (Baker et al., 2006;Forrest & Marks, 1999), while others find a negative relationship (e.g., Bybee et al., 1981) and some find no effect (Dassonneville, 2011). Although these studies give insight into the effect of media use, the effect of media coverage is understudied.More recent studies have investigated whether different types of campaign coverage, most notably issue news and contest or strategic news, have an effect on individual-level vote switching (Adriaansen, Van Praag, & De Vreese, 2012;Takens, 2013). Adriaansen and colleagues (2012) found that issue news can induce voter uncertainty, whereas strategic news decreases voter uncertainty. This voter uncertainty would subsequently spark electoral volatility. In contrast, the study by Takens (2013) showed that voters become volatile in response to contest news, while issue news leads to stability in vote preferences. In this stud...

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Binary Logistic Regression

2016

Categorical Statistics for Communication Research

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A Test of Rivaling Approaches to Explain News Effects: News on Issue Positions of Parties, Real-World Developments, Support and Criticism, and Success and Failure

Cited by 70 publications

References 26 publications

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Priming Issues, Party Visibility, and Party Evaluations: The Impact on Vote Switching

Binary Logistic Regression

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