2012
DOI: 10.1002/fut.21550
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A Term Structure Model for VIX Futures

Abstract: This study develops a term structure model for VIX futures. Instead of deriving the VIX futures price from a model for the instantaneous variance of the S&P 500 or a model for the VIX, the VIX futures price dynamics are specified exogenously. The empirical features of VIX futures returns (positive skewness, excess kurtosis, and a decreasing volatility term structure for longer term expirations) are captured by assuming that they are normal inverse Gaussian distributed and scaled by a volatility function that i… Show more

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Cited by 27 publications
(12 citation statements)
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References 42 publications
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“…Our paper is also related to the vast literature on volatility derivative pricing. Many papers have studied different model settings for pricing VIX futures (Dupoyet, Daigler, & Chen, 2011; Huskaj & Nossman, 2013; Lu & Zhu, 2010; Zhang, Shu, & Brenner, 2010; Zhang & Zhu, 2006; Zhu & Lian, 2012). Lin (2007) derives and studies the pricing performance of closed form VIX futures pricing formulas under several different affine dynamics.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our paper is also related to the vast literature on volatility derivative pricing. Many papers have studied different model settings for pricing VIX futures (Dupoyet, Daigler, & Chen, 2011; Huskaj & Nossman, 2013; Lu & Zhu, 2010; Zhang, Shu, & Brenner, 2010; Zhang & Zhu, 2006; Zhu & Lian, 2012). Lin (2007) derives and studies the pricing performance of closed form VIX futures pricing formulas under several different affine dynamics.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Ever since, modelling the logarithm of VIX or VIX futures is considered in Psychoyios et al (2010) and Huskaj and Nossman (2013). Mencia and Sentana (2013) and Kaeck and Alexander (2013) compare and examine different model specification for VIX dynamics.…”
Section: Model Specificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the smile paper series, Bergomi (2004Bergomi ( , 2005Bergomi ( , 2008Bergomi ( , 2009 develops a framework which builds upon the joint dynamics of the underlying spot and its implied forward variance swap curve. In the same spirit are the contributions of Buehler (2006) and Cont and Kokholm (2013), while Huskaj and Nossman (2013) and Badran and Goldys (2015) directly specify the term structure of VIX futures. Madan and Yor (2011) model the log-SPX as a Sato process running at a speed governed by the VIX level and Carr and Madan (2014) model the joint density of the VIX, the SPX and the realized variance at a fixed maturity.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%