A Survey on the Role of System Dynamics Methodology on Fossil Fuel Resources Analysis

Kiani, Behdad; Mirzamohammadi, Saeed; Hosseini, Seyed Hossein

doi:10.5539/ibr.v3n3p84

Cited by 16 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 28 publications

(16 reference statements)

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“…Next, we will point out a basic paper by Kiani et al (2010) composing an analyzing survey on the role of SD methodology on fossil fuel resources. Besides the illustration of the role of SD in fossil fuel resources analysis, their paper reviews in particular the pioneering SD models in this field of fossil fuels.…”

Section: Fossil Fuelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy related system dynamic models: a literature review

Leopold

2015

Cent Eur J Oper Res

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System dynamics is extensively used as a decision support method in the energy sector. There exists a wide body of applications worldwide that are used not only within power companies but also by governmental agencies at the regional and national level. This review includes most of the relevant energy publications related to system dynamics and presents them within a literature review table divided into four key energy topics. This literature review is carried out in a chronological way and focuses on the period since the year 2000. The main purpose of this study is to summarise the remarkable body of work and the latest system dynamics trends related to the energy sector, in particular renewable energy that system dynamics practitioners have accumulated in the last 15 years.

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Section: Fossil Fuelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy related system dynamic models: a literature review

Leopold

2015

Cent Eur J Oper Res

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“…In Eq. (47), that is, QA = BA P0 R0 , (A1) a 2 × 2 matrix BA of the general form with non-negative entries…”

Section: Appendix a A Detailed Consideration Of The General Linear Mo...mentioning

confidence: 99%

A Dynamic Systems Approach to the Representation of Policy Implementation Processes in a Multi-Actor World

Kovalevsky¹,

Hewitt²,

Boer³

et al. 2017

DNC

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Implementation of any policy involves negotiation between multiple actors, and is therefore susceptible to a dynamic systems modelling approach. In this paper, we make an attempt to develop a family of dynamic systems models of policy implementation in such a multi-actor world by translating an existing, semi-quantitative, application of two theoretical approaches, Contextual Interaction Theory (CIT) and Participatory Action Research (PAR), into a quantitative dynamic framework. We explore various alternative actor-based dynamic systems for this proposed Participatory Contextual Interaction Theory (PCIT), including linear, piecewise linear, and strongly nonlinear models. Analytical results are supplemented with results of numerical simulations. One of the goals of the modelling exercise is to advance the actor dynamics module in the APoLUS land use cellular automata model; illustrative examples of the incorporation of actor dynamics models developed in the present paper into the computation of APoLUS transition potentials are provided.

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“…System dynamics have been used to study the market penetration of alternative fuel vehicles (Gillingham and Leaver, 2008; Janssen et al , 2006; Struben and Sterman, 2007; Supple, 2007), to model the urban transportation related issues of road congestion, modal‐split (Khanna et al , 1985; Wang et al , 2008) and emissions (Piattelli et al , 2002; Stepp et al , 2009). Kiani et al (2010) gives a detailed survey on the application of system dynamics in energy system modeling. Meadows et al (2004) has utilised system dynamics in the study of nonrenewable energy resources.…”

Section: System Dynamics and Energy Modelingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of fuel efficiency improvements in personal transportation

Menon

Mahanty

2012

International Journal of Energy Sector Management

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Users who downloaded this article also downloaded: (1980),"Vehicle development to improve fuel economy and fuel flexibility", Retail and Distribution Management, Vol. 8 Iss 6 pp. 61-67 http://dx.Access to this document was granted through an Emerald subscription provided by emerald-srm:573577 [] For AuthorsIf you would like to write for this, or any other Emerald publication, then please use our Emerald for Authors service information about how to choose which publication to write for and submission guidelines are available for all. Please visit www.emeraldinsight.com/authors for more information. About Emerald www.emeraldinsight.comEmerald is a global publisher linking research and practice to the benefit of society. The company manages a portfolio of more than 290 journals and over 2,350 books and book series volumes, as well as providing an extensive range of online products and additional customer resources and services.Emerald is both COUNTER 4 and TRANSFER compliant. The organization is a partner of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE) and also works with Portico and the LOCKSS initiative for digital archive preservation. AbstractPurpose -The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of the effects of fuel efficiency improvements on four-wheeler ownership, fuel consumption, fuel imports and emissions for personal transportation in the context of India. The paper also aims to measure the rebound effect induced by this policy. Design/methodology/approach -The paper relies on a system dynamics model to analyse the problem. A causal loop model was developed initially, which was transformed to a stock and flow diagram. Simulation was carried out to capture the effects of fuel efficiency improvements in the four-wheeler sector of India. Findings -The study has revealed that a policy of fuel efficiency improvements is favourable to the Indian four-wheeler sector growth, but this policy could result in an increase in fuel consumption and therefore a corresponding increase in the fuel imports and emissions in the country. This policy also induces direct rebound effect that adds up to the already alarming fuel consumption levels.Research limitations/implications -The study is limited to four-wheeler passenger cars in India and gasoline as the transport fuel. Originality/value -The paper offers a system dynamics model that can aid the government, vehicle manufacturers, and environment protection groups to further analyse policies regarding fuel efficiency improvements, fuel price adjustments, four-wheeler ownership, energy consumption and emission, and to obtain some useful policy insights before those policies are implemented.

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A Survey on the Role of System Dynamics Methodology on Fossil Fuel Resources Analysis

Cited by 16 publications

References 28 publications

Energy related system dynamic models: a literature review

Energy related system dynamic models: a literature review

A Dynamic Systems Approach to the Representation of Policy Implementation Processes in a Multi-Actor World

Effects of fuel efficiency improvements in personal transportation

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