The Criminal Code of Canada's prohibitions on medical assistance in dying have been lifted. 1 The logistics of offering medical assistance in dying to Canadians need to be formalized, and the consequences of this practice need to be anticipated. As with any new medical intervention, understanding the clinical and costing implications of medical assistance in dying is important.Health care costs increase substantially among patients nearing the end of life, accounting for a disproportionate amount of health care spending. For example, in Manitoba, more than 20% of health care costs are attributable to patients within the 6 months before dying, despite their representing only 1% of the population.2 Furthermore, as death approaches, health care costs increase dramatically in the final months.3,4 Patients who choose medical assistance in dying may forego this resource-intensive period.In a 1998 special article in The New England Journal of Medicine, Emanuel and Battin predicted that legalizing medical assistance in dying in the United States would save hundreds of millions of health care dollars per year; 5 a similar model can be applied to Canada. Here, we combine data on the use of medical assistance in dying from countries where it is legal with Canadian-specific endof-life cost data to estimate the effect of this intervention on health care costs in Canada.
MethodsEmanuel and Battin's model relies on 3 main factors to estimate cost savings from medical assistance in dying: the number of patients expected to choose the intervention; the effect of the intervention on life expectancy; and the total health care costs associated with end-of-life care. 5 We updated their model to include more recent and detailed demographic estimates of the patients who may choose medical assistance in dying, including age, sex and underlying diagnosis, in addition to Canadian-specific cost data.
Proportion of deaths due to medical assistance in dying and patient demographicsBetween 1990 and 2012, medical assistance in dying accounted for an estimated 1.8%-3.3% of total deaths in the Netherlands, with a trend for an increase in rates over the last 25 years. 6,7 In Belgium, medical assistance in dying has accounted for between The legalization of medical assistance in dying will affect health care spending in Canada. Our aim was to determine the potential costs and savings associated with the implementation of medical assistance in dying.