A Spatiotemporal Characterization of Water Resource Conditions and Demands as Influenced by the Hydrogeologic Framework of the Willcox Groundwater Basin, Southeastern Arizona, USA

Abstract

In the Willcox Groundwater Basin (WGB), increasing rates of agricultural groundwater withdrawal have led to significant regional groundwater level decline, threatening the basin’s long-term water resource security. Updated characterization of the basin’s water resource conditions and agricultural water demand is critically important for informing groundwater resource management efforts. We developed the hydrogeologic framework of the WGB and linked groundwater level data with land cover classification data to provide a spatiotemporal assessment of water resource conditions and agricultural development in the WGB. A correlation analysis evaluated the degree of association between the basin’s mean annual depth-to-groundwater and agricultural land cover extent. Results of this study indicate that between 2008 and 2021, agricultural land cover in the WGB increased by 29%. The average rate of groundwater level change in the basin’s measured wells was calculated at −13.8 m between 2006 and 2021. We found a strong correlation between the basin’s mean annual measured depth-to-groundwater and the annual agricultural land cover extent, further reinforcing the understanding of agricultural water use in the basin as a principal driver of groundwater level decline. The methodological framework employed proved a simple and effective way to assess groundwater resources as influenced by geology and land use. The outcomes of this study provide critical information toward improved water resources management by providing an integrated understanding of local hydrogeology, groundwater level variability, and changes in agricultural land cover in arid inland basins such as those found in Arizona, USA.