A spatially explicit scenario-driven model of adaptive capacity to global change in Europe

Acosta, Lilibeth A.; Klein, Richard J.T.; Reidsma, P.; Metzger, Marc J.; Rounsevell, Mark; Leemans, Rik; Schröter, Dagmar

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.03.008

Cited by 41 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 60 publications

(60 reference statements)

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“…equity, knowledge, technology, infrastructure, economic resources and institutions) which are constructed from the set of 17 individual indicators. For example, following the work of Acosta et al (2013) equity and knowledge were used as determinants of awareness. While ability seeks to evaluate the potential of a society to design, develop, implement and maintain adaptation measures.…”

Section: Aggregation Of Indicatorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While ability seeks to evaluate the potential of a society to design, develop, implement and maintain adaptation measures. Acosta et al (2013) describe Technology and Infrastructure as the determinants for ability. Finally Action refers to the availability of social, economic and institutional resources that allow the implementation of adaptation actions.…”

Section: Aggregation Of Indicatorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…the National Adaptive Capacity Index, NACI) (Vincent, 2007). Acosta et al (2013) provided European assessments, constructing an index based on three components: awareness, ability and action, as part of wider European climate-change vulnerability assessment (Metzger et al 2008). This method was subsequently used in others studies (Greiving 2011;Juhola et al 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It has also been adapted for cities (EEA 2012;Swart et al 2012), an arena where there is a strong demand for suitable methods of analysing urban AC (Schauser et al 2010). This paper builds on the work of Acosta et al (2013) and Swart et al (2012) to assess AC for the nine municipalities of the Concepción Metropolitan Area (CMA) in Chile. This research is the first to track the temporal and spatial distribution of AC in the recent past (for 1992 and 2002) through a fuzzy overlay approach with Geographic Information Systems (GIS).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Thus allows the identification of varying degrees of AC (Acosta et al 2008). Fuzzy set theory can be used to represent the continuous nature of socioeconomic indicators and better addresses the inherent uncertainty and subjectivity of the data used in AC assessments (Acosta et al 2013). In turn, it allows the straightforward comparison of the spatial objects of different values by first creating standardised value ranges for them (Espada et al 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Section: Aggregation Of Indicatorsmentioning

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Adaptive capacity is an important element of long-term adaptation to climate change and is the focus of a rapidly growing body of research. Interdisciplinary growth has the potential to introduce new methods and insights, but it could also cause fragmentation and hamper methodological development or limit transfer of academic insights to climate change adaptation practice. This article uses qualitative content, bibliometric, and citation network analyses to systematically review the scope, methods, and findings of 276 studies on adaptive capacity of social and social-ecological systems. The review demonstrates that adaptive capacity research is highly interdisciplinary; covers a wide range of sectors, geographic locations, and scales of analysis; and is highly fragmented. The majority of empirical studies are isolated by lack of comparative work and cross-field citation. Forty-six percent of studies reviewed do not cite prior works on adaptive capacity: even those on similar topics in the same geographic location. Methods to assess adaptive capacity have proliferated to include more than 64 indicator-based indices or frameworks and 37 proxy outcome measures. The article argues that lack of either consensus or debate across the literature raises concerns that scientific progress in the field may be constrained and the ability of adaptive capacity research to inform adaptation practice may be limited. To promote consistency and transparency in future work, 158 determinants of adaptive capacity are defined and illustrated with common assessment indicators and examples. Additional opportunities for progress are noted with suggestions for future research. This article is categorized under: Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change > Institutions for Adaptation K E Y W O R D S adaptive capacity, climate change adaptation, citation network, fragmentation, systematic review

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Climate vulnerability mapping: A systematic review and future prospects

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Maps synthesizing climate, biophysical and socioeconomic data have become part of the standard tool‐kit for communicating the risks of climate change to society. Vulnerability maps are used to direct attention to geographic areas where impacts on society are expected to be greatest and that may therefore require adaptation interventions. Under the Green Climate Fund and other bilateral climate adaptation funding mechanisms, donors are investing billions of dollars of adaptation funds, often with guidance from modeling results, visualized and communicated through maps and spatial decision support tools. This paper presents the results of a systematic review of 84 studies that map social vulnerability to climate impacts. These assessments are compiled by interdisciplinary teams of researchers, span many regions, range in scale from local to global, and vary in terms of frameworks, data, methods, and thematic foci. The goal is to identify common approaches to mapping, evaluate their strengths and limitations, and offer recommendations and future directions for the field. The systematic review finds some convergence around common frameworks developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, frequent use of linear index aggregation, and common approaches to the selection and use of climate and socioeconomic data. Further, it identifies limitations such as a lack of future climate and socioeconomic projections in many studies, insufficient characterization of uncertainty, challenges in map validation, and insufficient engagement with policy audiences for those studies that purport to be policy relevant. Finally, it provides recommendations for addressing the identified shortcomings. This article is categorized under: Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change > Values‐Based Approach to Vulnerability and Adaptation

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A spatially explicit scenario-driven model of adaptive capacity to global change in Europe

Cited by 41 publications

References 60 publications

Assessing urban adaptive capacity to climate change

Assessing urban adaptive capacity to climate change

Adaptive capacity to climate change: A synthesis of concepts, methods, and findings in a fragmented field

Climate vulnerability mapping: A systematic review and future prospects

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