Abstract:We analyze the implications of endogenous fertility choices on both economic and environmental performances in a stylized AK-type growth model. Differently from what traditionally assumed in the growth and environment literature, we allow pollution to be not only a by-product of productive activities by firms but also a result of households' behavior, as suggested by the celebrated IPAT equation. We show that along the balanced growth path equilibrium, economic growth may be non-monotonically related to the po… Show more
“…Understanding the nature of such a mutual relation between economic growth and environmental outcomes has been the main focus of a large and growing economics literature (see Xepapadeas, 2003;and Brock and Taylor, 2005; for some recent surveys). Several papers either analyze the extent to which it is possible to reconcile economic growth and environmental preservation by pursuing specific win-win policies (Porter and van der Linde, 1995; Ansuategi and Marsiglio, 2017;Marsiglio;2017), or discuss how the nature of the economy-environment 1 relation is complicated further by the presence of uncertainty in environmental or economic dynamics (Soretz, 2007;Athanassoglou and Xepapadeas, 2012; La Torre et al, 2017) and transboundary externalities associated with pollution diffusion (Ansuategi and Perrings, 2000; La Torre et al, 2015; de Frutos and Martín-Herrann, 2018), or argue why the economic growth and environment relation is nonmonotonic and specifically U-shaped (John and Pecchenino, 1994;Stokey, 1998;.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We now apply Lemma 2 to show that the function V (k, p) defined in (19) is indeed the value function of problem (11). To establish Property 1 of the Lemma recall that there is a maximum capital level,k > 0, that can be sustained in the long run: as p t ≥ 0 for all t ≥ 0, from the first constraint in (4) such upper bound is easily obtained noting that…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As the function V (k, p) defined in (19) is unbounded from below, before proving Proposition 1 we recall the following verification principle (Lemma 2) that holds for unbounded functions. Consider the general problem…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Note that under (17) G 0 > 0 certainly holds. Similarly, the argument in the first log of the function V (k ′ t , p ′ t ) defined in (19) becomes…”
We develop a multicriteria approach, based on a scalarization technique, in order to analyze the trade off between economic growth and environmental outcomes in a framework in which the economy and environment relation is bidirectional. On the one hand, economic growth by stimulating production activities gives rise to emissions of pollutants which deteriorate the environment. On the other hand, the environment affects economic activities since pollution generates a production externality determining how much output the economy can produce and reducing welfare. In this setting we show that optimality dictates an initial overshooting followed by economic degrowth and rising pollution. This implies that independently of the relative importance of economic and environmental factors, it is paradoxically optimal for the economy to asymptotically reach the maximum pollution level that the environment is able to bear.
“…Understanding the nature of such a mutual relation between economic growth and environmental outcomes has been the main focus of a large and growing economics literature (see Xepapadeas, 2003;and Brock and Taylor, 2005; for some recent surveys). Several papers either analyze the extent to which it is possible to reconcile economic growth and environmental preservation by pursuing specific win-win policies (Porter and van der Linde, 1995; Ansuategi and Marsiglio, 2017;Marsiglio;2017), or discuss how the nature of the economy-environment 1 relation is complicated further by the presence of uncertainty in environmental or economic dynamics (Soretz, 2007;Athanassoglou and Xepapadeas, 2012; La Torre et al, 2017) and transboundary externalities associated with pollution diffusion (Ansuategi and Perrings, 2000; La Torre et al, 2015; de Frutos and Martín-Herrann, 2018), or argue why the economic growth and environment relation is nonmonotonic and specifically U-shaped (John and Pecchenino, 1994;Stokey, 1998;.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We now apply Lemma 2 to show that the function V (k, p) defined in (19) is indeed the value function of problem (11). To establish Property 1 of the Lemma recall that there is a maximum capital level,k > 0, that can be sustained in the long run: as p t ≥ 0 for all t ≥ 0, from the first constraint in (4) such upper bound is easily obtained noting that…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As the function V (k, p) defined in (19) is unbounded from below, before proving Proposition 1 we recall the following verification principle (Lemma 2) that holds for unbounded functions. Consider the general problem…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Note that under (17) G 0 > 0 certainly holds. Similarly, the argument in the first log of the function V (k ′ t , p ′ t ) defined in (19) becomes…”
We develop a multicriteria approach, based on a scalarization technique, in order to analyze the trade off between economic growth and environmental outcomes in a framework in which the economy and environment relation is bidirectional. On the one hand, economic growth by stimulating production activities gives rise to emissions of pollutants which deteriorate the environment. On the other hand, the environment affects economic activities since pollution generates a production externality determining how much output the economy can produce and reducing welfare. In this setting we show that optimality dictates an initial overshooting followed by economic degrowth and rising pollution. This implies that independently of the relative importance of economic and environmental factors, it is paradoxically optimal for the economy to asymptotically reach the maximum pollution level that the environment is able to bear.
“…Such a research question is generally addressed in an endogenous fertility framework aiming to understand how optimal fertility decisions are affected by specific (economic and environmental) factors. Several works analyze either the relation between endogenous fertility and economic growth [7,30,33,36] or the relation between endogenous fertility and natural resources [22,29,31,32,38]. To the best of our knowledge, none of the existing works takes into account migration flows which, by interacting with economic and environmental factors, are likely to play a major role in determining individuals' fertility decisions and population dynamics.…”
We analyze the implications of pollution and migration externalities on the optimal population dynamics in a spatial setting. We focus on a framework in which pollution affects the mortality rate and decreases utility, while migration occurs within the spatial economy. Agents optimally determine their fertility rate which, along with pollution-induced mortality and spatial migration, determines the net population growth rate. This setting implies that human population follows an endogenous logistic-type dynamics where fertility choices determine what the optimal limit of human population will be. We compare the decentralized and the centralized outcomes showing that such fertility decisions generally differ, quantifying the extent to which pollution and migration induced externalities matter in determining the difference between the two outcomes. We show that, due to the effects of pollution on utility and mortality, both the optimal fertility rate and the population size are smallest in the centralized economy but migration effects change not only the size of these differences but also their direction, suggesting that the spatial channel is an important mechanism to account for in the process of policymaking.
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