“…In Fig. 3 , the Fagan plot in DPA1 for overall POPF [ 14 , 16 – 18 , 20 , 22 – 28 ] implied that when the pretest probabilities were respectively 25%, 50%, 75% the positive post-test probabilities (post-test (+)) were 0.59, 0.81, 0.93 and the negative post-test probabilities (post-test (−)) were 0.06, 0.16, 0.36. For CR-POPF, [ 5 , 15 , 18 , 19 , 21 , 29 ] when the pretest probabilities were respectively 25%, 50%, 75% the post-tests (+) were 0.66, 0.86, 0.95, and the post-tests (−) were 0.10, 0.26, 0.51.…”