A seasonal forecast scheme for the Inner Mongolia spring drought part-II: a logical reasoning evidence-based method for spring predictions

Gao, Tao; Wulan, Wulan; Xiao, Yu; Zhang, Yang; Gao, Jing; Hua, Weiqi; Peng, Yang; Si, Yaobing

doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2517-2

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 7 publications

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“…The drought pattern in Guangxi differed under the influence of monsoon circulation and tropical cyclone, and the frequency of autumn droughts was the highest, followed by winter droughts, while that of spring and summer droughts was low. Spring droughts refer to the droughts between March and May [32].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of Regional Spatiotemporal Variations in Drought from the Perspective of Soil Moisture in Guangxi, China

Shao

2022

Water

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Understanding the changes in regional droughts is important for promoting overall sustainable development. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of soil droughts in Guangxi under the background of global warming and regional vegetation restoration have not been studied extensively, and the potential causes are scarcely understood. Here, using TerraClimate soil moisture data, we constructed a monthly standardized soil moisture index (SSMI), analyzed the seasonal and annual spatiotemporal distribution of droughts from the perspective of soil moisture, and studied past soil drought events in Guangxi. Migration methods of drought centroid, trend analysis, and principal component decomposition were used. In the interannual dynamics, the overall SSMI increased, indicating that the soil drought situation was gradually alleviated in Guangxi. Further, the frequency of extreme and severe droughts decreased with time, mainly in autumn and winter. During early drought stages, the migration path was short, which extended as the droughts progressed. Ocean temperature and soil moisture were strongly correlated, indicating that abnormal ocean surface temperature may drive soil moisture. This study provides scientific guidance for the early warning, prevention, and mitigation of losses associated with soil droughts in Guangxi and serves as valuable reference for understanding the impacts of large-scale climate anomalies on soil moisture.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of Regional Spatiotemporal Variations in Drought from the Perspective of Soil Moisture in Guangxi, China

Shao

2022

Water

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Analysis of spring drought in Northeast China from the perspective of atmosphere, snow cover, and soil

Pei,

Hao,

et al. 2024

CATENA

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Study on spring drought in cold and arid regions based on the ANOVA projection pursuit model

Pei,

Hao,

et al. 2024

Ecological Indicators

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A seasonal forecast scheme for the Inner Mongolia spring drought part-II: a logical reasoning evidence-based method for spring predictions

Cited by 3 publications

References 7 publications

Assessment of Regional Spatiotemporal Variations in Drought from the Perspective of Soil Moisture in Guangxi, China

Assessment of Regional Spatiotemporal Variations in Drought from the Perspective of Soil Moisture in Guangxi, China

Analysis of spring drought in Northeast China from the perspective of atmosphere, snow cover, and soil

Study on spring drought in cold and arid regions based on the ANOVA projection pursuit model

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