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AbstractWe examine 120 Nasdaq and Over-the-Counter "buy" recommendations made by Internet sites from April 1999 to June 2001. The stock picks show substantial short-and long-run price and liquidity gains, although no new information is revealed about them. For example, liquidity one year after the pick day remains higher for these stocks than for a sample matched according to size, book-to-market value, and liquidity in the preceding year. In addition, after controlling for fundamental and microstructure factors, we find that stocks with lower initial liquidity have greater improvements in liquidity on the pick day. Further, stocks with lower initial liquidity and higher pick-day liquidity have higher pick-day excess returns. These results suggest that stocks have multiple liquidity equilibria, and that the stock picks, by coordinating uninformed trading activity, push initially illiquid stocks to a higher liquidity equilibrium. Finally, we find that stocks with higher initial media exposure enjoy greater liquidity gains and lower excess returns on the pick day.
Fifteen Minutes of Fame? The Market Impact of Internet Stock PicksThe low cost of setting up a web site, and the ability to quickly and cheaply disseminate information to a large number of subscribers, has given rise to a new breed of "stock pickers": the so-called "momentum" web sites. Every week, on a pre-specified day and time, 1 the momentum sites would announce their pick -typically a buy recommendation for a stock. To "sell" the pick, the sites emphasized the stock's large past returns, low float, lack of visibility or growth potential. They also claimed large percentage gains for prior picks. However, no new information was offered about the stocks themselves, other than references to publicly available company press releases. In fact, some recommended firms later released statements denying any material changes to their financial conditions. 2 Before the pick, the sites attempted to coordinate synchronous buying by large numbers of investors. They informed subscribers via email and exhorted them to learn of the pick by logging on to the site's home page around the pick time.
3They also attempted to coordinate with other stock picking sites.In this paper, we examine the impact of 60 Nasdaq and 60 OTC Bulletin Board (OTCBB)picks by Internet web sites on the valuation and liquidity of the stocks. Our sample period is April 1999 to June 2001, after wh...