A roadmap towards a low-carbon society in Japan using backcasting methodology: Feasible pathways for achieving an 80% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050

Ashina, Shuichi; Fujino, Junichi; Masui, Toshihiko; Ehara, Tomoki; Hibino, Go

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2011.11.020

Cited by 81 publications

(31 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…They conclude that such a future would be possible, but also point out the importance of demand reduction (Robèrt et al, 2007). The importance of a combination of technical progress and demand reduction is confirmed by backcasting studies in many other developed countries and regions, for instance California, Japan and the UK (Ashina et al, 2012;Hickman and Banister, 2007;Yang et al;.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 89%

Bridging the implementation gap: Combining backcasting and policy analysis to study renewable energy in urban road transport

et al. 2015

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This paper combines backcasting and policy analysis to identify the opportunities for and barriers to the increased use of renewable energy and energy-efficient vehicles in an urban road transport system, namely, that of Stockholm, Sweden, in 2030. The combination of methods could bridge the implementation gap between scenario-based research and actual policy implementation and thus increase the chances of research being implemented in practice. In the case study, backcasting identifies a need for diverse fuels and vehicles and for immediate policy action. However, analysis of policy integration demonstrates that such action is unlikely given current policy structures. The fundamental lack of integration between energy and transport policy obstructs measures to increase the use of renewable fuels and more energy-efficient vehicles, which in turn obstructs the reduction of CO2 emissions from transport. The combination of backcasting and policy analysis is demonstrated to improve our understanding of the prerequisites for transitioning to a system based on renewable energy, and could thus be useful in further research.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 89%

Bridging the implementation gap: Combining backcasting and policy analysis to study renewable energy in urban road transport

et al. 2015

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“…Alderson et al [6] analyzed energy saving scenario for the United Kingdom (UK) by 2050, deriving that the GHG emissions reduction could be achieved at 46% by 2030. Ashina et al [7] studied the future low-carbon society road map in Japan and showed that the CO2 emissions reduction rate would reach 31%-35% by 2030. Hu et al [8] analyzed the successful cases of low-carbon economic planning in China for the last 30 years; as a result China would achieve 16.55 billion tons of CO2 emissions reduction, as well as 4.38 billion tons of oil-equivalent energy savings by 2030.…”

Section: Previous Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Feasibility Study of the Post-2020 Commitment to the Power Generation Sector in South Korea

Yun¹,

Kim²,

Kim

2017

Sustainability

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Abstract:We analyze the economic effects of greenhouse gases (GHG) reduction measures of the generation sector of South Korea to accomplish the 2030 GHG reduction target using a scenario-based approach. We estimate the GHG emission of the South Korean power industry in 2030 based on both the 7th Electricity Supply and Demand Plan and the GHG emission coefficients issued by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). We establish four scenarios for reduction measures by replacing the coal-fired power plants with nuclear power, renewable energy and carbon capture and storage, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) combined cycle generation. Finally, the nuclear power scenario demonstrates the most positive measure in terms of GHG reduction and economic effects.

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“…Third, several studies on the low-carbon scenario were conducted from a national-level perspective (Alderson et al 2012;Ashina et al 2012;Bautista 2012;Gomi et al 2010;Koo et al 2014bThollander et al 2012;Wang et al 2011;Winyuchakrit et al 2011). Koo et al (2014b assessed the improvement of the energy performance of existing buildings by implementing various energy retrofit strategies, which were established by combining energy-saving techniques and new and renewable energy systems.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of a Dynamic Incentive and Penalty Program for Improving the Energy Performance of Existing Buildings

Koo

Hong

2017

Technological and Economic Development of Economy

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Abstract. The positive effectiveness of energy policy instruments such as national carbon emissions reduction target (CERT) and energy performance certificates can be achieved by encouraging the voluntary participation of the public in the energy-saving campaign. Towards this end, this study aimed to develop a dynamic incentive and penalty program for improving the energy performance of existing buildings. Four types of incentive programs and four types of penalty programs were established based on three comparison criteria. As a building-level, the first comparison criterion is the averaging approach based on similar cases that can be retrieved using a simplified case-based reasoning model. As a community-level, the second comparison criterion is one-step higher operational and letter rating than the grade of a given building. As a national-level, the third comparison criterion is the operational and letter rating as the minimum criteria for achieving the national CERT. In this study, an elementary school facility located in Seoul, South Korea was selected to validate the applicability of the developed program. As a result, besides the category benchmark, the various comparison criteria should be provided to the public to encourage the voluntary participation of the public in the energy-saving campaign.Keywords: policy on sustainable development, building energy performance certificate, incentive and penalty program, operational rating, voluntary participation, case-based reasoning.JEL classification: C38, C45, C61, D78, L74, L78, Q01, Q48, R28.

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A roadmap towards a low-carbon society in Japan using backcasting methodology: Feasible pathways for achieving an 80% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050

Cited by 81 publications

References 21 publications

Bridging the implementation gap: Combining backcasting and policy analysis to study renewable energy in urban road transport

Bridging the implementation gap: Combining backcasting and policy analysis to study renewable energy in urban road transport

Feasibility Study of the Post-2020 Commitment to the Power Generation Sector in South Korea

Development of a Dynamic Incentive and Penalty Program for Improving the Energy Performance of Existing Buildings

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