Background
Targeting higher hemoglobin with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) to treat anemia of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk.
Study Design
Meta-regression analysis examining the association of ESA dose with adverse outcomes, independent of target or achieved hemoglobin.
Setting and Population
Patients with anemia of CKD, irrespective of dialysis status.
Selection Criteria for Studies
We searched MEDLINE (inception to August 2010) and bibliographies of published meta-analyses and selected randomized controlled trials assessing the efficacy of ESAs for treatment of anemia in adults with CKD, with minimum 3-month duration. Two authors independently screened citations and extracted relevant data. Individual study arms were treated as cohorts and constituted the unit of analysis.
Predictors
ESA dose standardized to a weekly epoetin alfa equivalent, and hemoglobin levels.
Outcomes
All-cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular events, kidney disease progression or transfusion requirement.
Results
31 trials (12,956 patients) met criteria. All-cause mortality was associated with higher (per epoetin-alfa–equivalent 10,000-U/wk increment) first-3-month mean ESA dose (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.42; 95% CI, 1.10–1.83) and higher total-study-period mean ESA dose (IRR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.02–1.18). First-3-month ESA dose remained significant after adjusting for first-3-month mean hemoglobin (IRR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.02- 2.14), as did total-study-period mean ESA dose adjusting for target hemoglobin (IRR, 2 1.41; 95% CI, 1.08–1.82). Parameter estimates between ESA dose and cardiovascular mortality were similar in magnitude and direction but not statistically significant. Higher total-study-period mean ESA dose was also associated with increased rate of hypertension, stroke, and thrombotic events including dialysis vascular access-related thrombotic events.
Limitations
use of study-level aggregated data; use of epoetin alfa–equivalent doses; lack of adjustment for confounders.
Conclusions
In patients with CKD, higher ESA dose might be associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular complications independent of hemoglobin.