A Proposal Model for Estimation of Project Success in Terms of Radial Based Neural Networks: A Case Study in Iran

Abstract

For improving the conditions of project intended purpose and reaching high score in the project success, project Stakeholders (including employer, contractor, consultant and its users) try to comply with the implementation of project Critical Success Factors(CSFs) at the beginning of each project. This implementation is in two terms: economic and executive. Artificial neural networks are one of the new methods which have been developed to estimate and predict parameters by using inherent relationship among data. In this research, it tried to propose a model to determine the project success score by using radial basis neural networks. For reaching this purpose, firstly, the key indicators of project success (employer, contractor and consultant) among the main elements involved in the industry of macro-civil construction projects in Iran reviewed. Secondly, ten CSFs key project success indicators were recognized in five categories: (i) financial, (ii) interaction processes, (iii) manpower, (iv) contract settings and (v) characteristic nature of the project (based on conditions of the present research in Iran). Then, some projects were selected by random sampling of projects operated during the last 5 years in the country's Ministry of Energy. Among those projects, project information was collected by managers of large projects. After training the designed neural network, the project success model was provided based on an assessment of project objectives including factors of Scope, Time, Cost, and Quality of the projects. For facilitating other researches' use, the applied equation of the model was presented as well. Outputs, calculated by the proposed model, were in good agreement with the actual number of projects assessed in Iran. The results of this study may be used as a tool in implementing projects for the rapid assessment of achieving project goals' facilities.

Studies on the success criteria and critical success factors for mega infrastructure construction projects: a literature review

“…The resource in the megaprojects generally refers to adequate workers, construction materials, machines and funding as well. Sufficient resources (for example, sufficient funds available in projects) are vital to the progress of megaprojects (Asgari et al. , 2017).…”

“…The resource in the megaprojects generally refers to adequate workers, construction materials, machines and funding as well. Sufficient resources (for example, sufficient funds available in projects) are vital to the progress of megaprojects (Asgari et al, 2017). Project funds can be used to purchase construction materials, machines and hiring workers, which are the basis for the smooth construction of megaprojects.…”

Investigating the reasons for failures and delays in R&D projects with the project management approach

“…In an article entitled "Recognizing the Key Factors in Project Success in Iran, " Asgari et al (2017) have introduced the following three criteria as important criteria for judging project success: -Satisfy customer needs -Delivery of the project on time -Completion of the project based on the allocated budget In his book, Advanced Project Management, he argues that in recent years our definition of project success has changed. It provides definitions of project success and a list of failure and success factors that can affect project performance at different stages of a project life cycle (Asgari, Kheyroddin, & Naderpour, 2017). Davis (2017) points out, the definitions of project success have changed over the years.…”

“…M. Williams, 2013;Yang & Wei, 2010) 4-Behavioral competence of the project manager ; Singh & Williams, 2020 ( T. ; Sprecher et al, 1995 T. M. ; Williams, 2003 Yang & ; Williams, 2013 ) Wei, 201031-Training process (Agyekum-Mensah & Knight, 2017Al-Momani, 2000;Artz et al, 2010;Asgari et al, 2017;Assaf & Al-Hejji, 2006) 5-Competence of project system engineer (Ali et al, 2007;Sabzehparvar & Seyed-Hosseini, 2008;Sharifi et al, 2014;Sonenshein, 2010;T. Williams, 2003) 32-The process of selecting, recruiting and employing employees Attaran, ; Ali et al, 2007 ( ;Dinakar, 2014 ; Frimpong ; Engeström, 2005 Prasad et al, ;et al, 2003 -Sabzehparvar & Seyed ; ) osseini, 2008 H 6-Specialization of the project team Attaran, ; Ali et al, 2007 ( ;Dinakar, 2014 ; Frimpong et ; Engeström, 2005 ;Prasad et al, 2019 ; Mahamid et al, 2012 ( ;osseini et al, 2007 H Sprecher et ;Sonenshein, 2010Sonenshein, ) al., 1995 35-Supply and purchase process (Agyekum-Mensah & Knight, 2017;Asgari et al, 2017;Guida & Sacco, 2019;…”

Impact on Productive Stability Caused by Variations of Prestressed Precast Elements

“…The industries suffer direct interference from the construction typologies (shed, shopping mall, shopping centers, hotels, etc. ), being applied to nature and changeable by the construction industry (Asgari, Kheyroddin, and Naderpour 2017).…”