A probabilistic total cost of ownership model to evaluate the current and future prospects of electric cars uptake in Italy

Danielis, Romeo; Giansoldati, Marco; Rotaris, Lucia

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.024

Cited by 100 publications

(62 citation statements)

References 33 publications

(75 reference statements)

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“…Also, car manufacturers use TCO models in order to predict future cars trends or to market their products more effectively. The ratio between the TCO and the travelled kilometer is [1]:…”

Section: The Total Cost Of Ownershipmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Concerns with global warming, oil shortages and rising gas prices are gradually impacting automotive industries, that so far have relied on fossil fuels and caused a significant part of polluting emissions. The electrification of the transportation sector and in particular the usage of Electric Vehicles (EVs) is becoming ever more attractive, affecting consumers' choices [1,2]. However, the strict European targets set for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, the required improvement of system's security and reliability, and the increasing share of intermittent renewable energy sources are calling for important changes in our energy systems.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Total Cost of Ownership of electric vehicles using energy from a renewable-based microgrid

Pavan

Lughi

Scorrano

2019

2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech

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This work aims at analyzing the integration between electric mobility and renewable energy sources studying the case of the grid-connected microgrid under construction at the University of Trieste, Italy. A general model able to estimate the charging price and the resulting total cost of ownership per kilometer considering the match between the demand and the production of a photovoltaic generator is presented. The result is that the electric vehicle is mainly charged with the produced renewable energy (72%) and that the 60% of it flows through the storage unit. The study also presents a sensitivity analysis to show how the battery size and cost, together with the travelled distance, influence the charging price and the total cost of ownership per kilometer. Considering the current Italian prices and subsidies, results show that the use of an electric car is today feasible from both an environmental and an economic point of view.

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“…Also, car manufacturers use TCO models in order to predict future cars trends or to market their products more effectively. The ratio between the TCO and the travelled kilometer is [1]:…”

Section: The Total Cost Of Ownershipmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Total Cost of Ownership of electric vehicles using energy from a renewable-based microgrid

Pavan

Lughi

Scorrano

2019

2019 IEEE Milan PowerTech

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…However, as it has been pointed out by the European Parliament, it is necessary to increase the pace of development of biofuels from raw non-food materials and popularize electromobility in road transport [81]. In association with the above, the popularity of electric propulsion vehicles has been growing, both in the sector of fully electrical, and combined electrical and diesel vehicles [88][89][90][91][92][93][94]. Nevertheless, the development of electromobility requires further investment, as well as additional legal and economic solutions to establish favourable conditions to encourage consumers to purchase and use such vehicles [95][96][97].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Selected Aspects of Biofuels Market and the Electromobility Development in Poland: Current Trends and Forecasting Changes

et al. 2019

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This work presents basic information associated with markets of selected alternative fuels used in transport, such as methyl esters, conventional bioethanol and lignocellulosic bioethanol, and the market of electrical vehicles. Legal conditions, which stimulate development and regulate the mode of functioning of the liquid biofuel market until 2020 are discussed, based on provisions of EU directives. Data on biofuel production in Poland are presented, as well as biofuel consumption in the EU, the USA and Brazil in 2017. The most important conclusions of the proposal for a directive on the promotion of renewable energy sources in transport in EU member states in years 2021–2030 are discussed. The authors have also indicated the key legal and territorial conditions associated with the development of electromobility and present basic information on electric vehicles in Poland and Europe. The results of the research on the attractiveness of these sectors in 2018 are presented and compared with the results obtained in years 2007–2017. A score-based sector attractiveness method was used in the research.

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“…Political uncertainty is associated with traffic regulation (tolls, access restrictions, parking tariffs) and incentives' mechanisms (e.g., purchase subsidies and circulation tax exemptions) that could affect the relative cost advantages of the different propulsion systems. In the existing TCO literature, the uncertainty aspect has been incorporated using probabilistic TCO models ( [8,9]). The economic uncertainty connected with future prices has been studied by [10] using an assortment of future cost scenarios, or by [11] combining tools from the TCO and technology selection literature.…”

Section: Related Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Several papers have explored these TCO differences. The authors of this study have performed previous TCO applications to different market segments including private cars ( [9,[12][13][14]), LCVs ( [15]) and taxis ( [16]). Some studies have performed cross-country ( [17,18]) or cross-city ( [19]) comparisons.…”

Section: Related Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

The Economic Case for Electric Vehicles in Public Sector Fleets: An Italian Case Study

Danielis

Scorrano

Giansoldati

et al. 2020

WEVJ

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The paper investigates whether it makes economic sense to use electric vehicles (EVs) in the public sector fleet. Thanks to the data collected in 2018 in 77 public sector entities in an Italian region, Friuli Venezia Giulia, we compare the total cost of ownership of a battery electric vehicle with that of a similar internal combustion engine one. We provide estimates for four scenarios (status quo, social cost internalization, price discounts and a combination of the last two) for three groups of public entities (local health authorities, municipalities and special purpose authorities) regarding passenger cars and mixed-use small light commercial vehicles. We find that, with the current price and cost structure, it makes economic sense to adopt EVs for a positive although relatively small percentage of the public sector fleet.

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A probabilistic total cost of ownership model to evaluate the current and future prospects of electric cars uptake in Italy

Cited by 100 publications

References 33 publications

Total Cost of Ownership of electric vehicles using energy from a renewable-based microgrid

Total Cost of Ownership of electric vehicles using energy from a renewable-based microgrid

Selected Aspects of Biofuels Market and the Electromobility Development in Poland: Current Trends and Forecasting Changes

The Economic Case for Electric Vehicles in Public Sector Fleets: An Italian Case Study

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