A Numerical Study of Clear-Air Turbulence over North China on 6 June 2017

Abstract

On 6 June 2017, four severe clear-air turbulence (CAT) events were observed over northern China within 3 h. These events mainly occurred at altitudes between 8.1 and 9.5 km. The characteristics and possible mechanisms of the CAT events in the different regions are investigated here using the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model. The simulated wind and temperature fields in a 27 km coarse domain were found to be in good agreement with those of the ERA5 (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5) and the observed soundings of operational radiosondes over northern China. In terms of synoptic features, the region where the turbulence occurred is characterized by a southwest–northeast upper-level jet stream. The upper-level jet stream observed at an altitude of 10.4 km consistently moved eastwards, with a maximum wind speed of 61.7 m/s. Simultaneously, the upper-level front–jet system on the cyclonic shear side of the upper-level jet stream also exhibited an eastward motion. The developed upper-level front–jet system induced significant vertical wind shear (VWS) and tropopause folding in the vicinity of these CAT events. Despite the high stability resulting from tropopause folding, the presence of strong VWS (1.90 × 10−2 s−1–2.55 × 10−2 s−1) led to a low Richardson number (Ri) (0.24–0.88) and caused Kelvin–Helmholtz instability (KHI), which ultimately induced CAT. Although a standard numerical weather forecast resolution of tens of kilometers is adequate to capture turbulence for most CAT events, it is still necessary to use high-resolution numerical simulations (such as 3 km) to calculate more accurate CAT indices (such as Ri) for CAT prediction in some specific cases.