A Novel Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on TSNE-EEMD-LSTM

Abstract

In this paper, a novel power load forecasting model is proposed to fully extract the periodic characteristics of short-term load at various time scales and explore the potential correlations between influencing factors and characteristics of load components. Firstly, the t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding algorithm is used to map sample points of high-dimensional load influencing factors to low-dimensional space, and the ensemble empirical mode decomposition algorithm is employed to split the historical load curve into multiple signal components with different frequencies. Then, several long short-term memory networks including nonlinear mapping and time series models are established to mine the relationship between low-dimensional comprehensive influencing factors and each intrinsic mode function component by utilizing different inputs. Finally, the effectiveness of the hybrid model is verified via using the short-term load dataset of 3-hour data granularity in a certain region, and the influence of key parameters of the model on the forecasting effect is discussed.