A Novel Nomogram for Predicting Breast Cancer–specific Survival in Male Patients

Abstract

Objectives: To compare breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) of nonmetastatic invasive breast cancer between male (MBC) and female (FBC) patients, define clinicopathologic variables related to BCSS in nonmetastatic invasive MBC patients, and establish a nomogram for individual risk prediction.Materials and Methods: On the basis of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, 2094 MBC and 48,104 FBC cases underwent propensity score matching (PSM). We compared the prognosis of patients before and after PSM and developed a nomogram for BCSS of nonmetastatic invasive MBC patients. Internal validation was performed using the consistency index, calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic curves. Simultaneously, data from 49 nonmetastatic invasive MBC patients diagnosed between January 2012 and May 2016 were collected for external validation.Results: Before PSM, overall survival and BCSS were significantly shorter in MBC than those in FBC patients. After PSM, MBC patients continued to have a shorter overall survival, but not BCSS, than FBC patients. Marital status, age, histologic grade, estrogen/progesterone receptor status, Tumor Lymph Node stage, and surgery were included in the prediction model. Conclusions:The nomogram developed in this study seems to be more accurate than conventional Tumor-nodal-metastasis staging staging to predict BCSS and may serve as an effective tool for assessing the prognosis of nonmetastatic invasive MBC.