One of the most important problems occurring in ceramic tile industry is defective product problem.Defective ceramics leads to loss of income and waste of resources in enterprises. However, it is generally unknown which factors and production stages cause what kinds of defects. On the other hand, in the literature, the existing modeling studies usually consider the defects seen on industrial ceramics. The defect types of industrial ceramics and those of ceramic tiles are different. Moreover, the classi cation types encountered in both kinds of ceramics also differ from each other. This article investigates the reasons behind the defect occurrences on ceramic tiles, along with a comparison between a logistic regression model and a Bayesian network model. In the study, the model validation results of the logistic regression model and the Bayesian network model show that the Bayesian network model is more successful in estimating the defect types. Thus, the constructed Bayesian network model indicates that in general, the high speeds of the production band signi cantly increase the probabilities of all kinds of defects except the deformation defect. Additionally, the high densities of the glaze also increase the occurrence levels of the defects, except the deformation defect. Similarly, the high levels of the engobe weight and the engobe density are also among the factors increasing the defect occurrences.