A note on the trade potential of Central and Eastern Europe

Does Corruption Hinder Trade for the New EU Members?

“…In the last fifteen years researchers have also been concerned with the use of gravity models in empirical studies looking at the process of economic integration and the role that RTAs have played in encouraging trade among members. There exists a large body of work examining the main changes in the geographical pattern of trade and analyzing the effects of regional trade arrangements (RTA) and free trade agreements (FTA) as well as currency unions on trade flows (see inter alia, Gros and Gonciarz 1996, Baldwin et al 1997, Brenton and Di Mauro 1999, Frankel and Rose 2000, Nilsson 2000, Laaser and Schrader 2002, Brenton and Manzocchi 2002, Damijan and Masten 2002, De Benedictis et al 2005, Bussiere et al 2008and Hornok 2010. The majority of these studies find that the RTAs created to prepare transition countries for EU accession, have generated considerable growth intra EU-CEECs trade flows, with the coefficients of regional dummies being positive and statistically significant.…”

Border Effects and European Integration

“…According to the literature (Maurel, 1998, Gros and Gonciarz, 1996, Baldwin, 1993, Nilson, 2000, the reintegration of CEE countries into the world economy in the early 1990s was accompanied by their disengagement from intra-CEE integration. The decline of trade with other CEE partners was beyond its normal level, pointing out the strong competition between former socialist economies for obtaining a higher share of the larger and more attractive core-EU market, and for increasing their chances for accession.…”

Das Handelsvolumen der ostdeutschen Bundesländer mit Polen und Tschechien im Zuge der EU-Osterweiterung: Ergebnisse auf Basis eines Gravitationsmodells

“…Weise et al 1997, Brücker et al 2000. Darauf aufbauend Gros und Gonciarz (1996), Breuss und Egger (1999) und Nilsson (2000 lassen zumindest Zweifel an dem ursprüng-lichen Optimismus aufkommen, der sich noch in den frühen Untersuchungen von Havrylyshyn und Pritchett (1991), Wang und Winters (1992) sowie Hamilton und Winters (1992) Unter Berücksichtigung der verschiedenen Einflussgrößen lässt sich die Gravitationsgleichung als Schätzmodell in log-linearer Form wie folgt formulieren: …”

“…Exporte plus Importe) 199119931994199519961998) (-5,77) (-4,97) (-6,54) (-5,65) (-6,17) (-5,10) (-4,63) (-4,58) (-4,23) (-4,19) (-3,88) Log (N i ) + Log (N j ) -0,455 -0,534 -0,477 -0,761 -0,748 -0,834 -0,95 -1,069 -1,256 -1,337 -1,337 -1,274 (-1,77) (-1,88) (-1,46) (-2,85) (-2,95) (-3,56) (-3,95) (-4,59) (-5,72) (-5,84) (-5,77) (-5,70) Neue Bundesländer 0,955 0,322 (1,74) ( …”