2011
DOI: 10.1177/1063293x11424512
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A Neuro-Fuzzy-Regression Algorithm for Improved Prediction of Manufacturing Lead Time with Machine Breakdowns

Abstract: Manufacturing lead time estimation is an important task in production system with machine breakdown and maintenance. This study presents a flexible algorithm for estimation and forecasting lead time based on artificial neural network (ANN), fuzzy regression (FR), and conventional regression (CR). First, an ANN is illustrated based on supervised multi-layer perceptron network for the lead time forecasting. The selected ANN model is then compared with fuzzy and conventional regression models with respect to Mean… Show more

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Cited by 22 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…MLP : Also called multilayer NN with feedforward connections, it is a DL model of excellence that approximates a given function f ( x ) by neurons, where each one in one layer is connected directly to the neurons of the subsequent layer and uses sigmoid activation functions (Asadzadeh et al, 2011; Goodfellow et al, 2016). A feed-forward network is defined as y = f ( x ; normalθ ) that learns the values of the parameter θ , which results in the best approximation function.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…MLP : Also called multilayer NN with feedforward connections, it is a DL model of excellence that approximates a given function f ( x ) by neurons, where each one in one layer is connected directly to the neurons of the subsequent layer and uses sigmoid activation functions (Asadzadeh et al, 2011; Goodfellow et al, 2016). A feed-forward network is defined as y = f ( x ; normalθ ) that learns the values of the parameter θ , which results in the best approximation function.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The authors evaluate several order dispatching rules to determine which has a positive influence on the accuracy of the forecast of flow time and therefore better predict the tardiness of orders. A more advanced approach is described by Asadzadeh [10] who develops an algorithm that combines artificial neural network theory with a blend of conventional and fuzzy regression. The algorithm described has the role of improving the accuracy of lead time forecasting within a manufacturing environment.…”
Section: Forecasting Of Manufacturing Performance In Manufacturingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Forecasting is regarded as the complex procedure through which the upcoming development of an analyzed time series is predicted based on an extrapolation of previously recorded data and on an analysis of the available planned information or future environmental conditions that might affect the respective system [4,[8][9][10]. As portrayed in Figure 1, a forecasting process is usually comprised of two components: an objective mathematical model and subjective human input [9].…”
Section: Forecasting Of Manufacturing Performance In Manufacturingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The first study that proposed a neuro-fuzzy regression algorithm to develop a forecasting model of weekly manufacturing lead time estimation, considering the breakdown time indicator in an actual assembly shop -a producer of heavy electric motors -was done by Asadzadeh et al [37]. The input data were the sum of failure times, the sum of repair times, and the sum of processing times, and were collected for 70 weeks with 70 observations.…”
Section: Current Methods To Tackle Uncertaintymentioning
confidence: 99%