A Multi-Performance Reliability Evaluation Approach Based on the Surrogate Model with Cluster Mixing Weight

Abstract

Kriging surrogate model has extracted extensive attention in reliability evaluation, owing to its excellent applicability and operability nowadays, which confronts with difficulties in balancing the efficiency and accuracy for complicated mechanical assets with multiple failure modes. Consequently, this paper devises a multi-performance reliability analysis approach within the surrogate model framework, particularly innovative in its use of cluster mixing weight. Specifically, high-value test points are selected to fit the surrogate model after sorting the samples referring to the corresponding values; then, a cluster-based active learning strategy is employed to accomplish rapid convergence, and the particle swarm algorithm is utilized to optimize relevant parameters. Afterwards, the mixing weight for every performance referring to the contributions to the final reliability is determined, and the failure probability is subsequently predicted. Furthermore, the superiority of the proposed approach with the clustering surrogate model and mixing weight, compared with traditional sampling as well as other surrogate models, has been verified via case studies, contributing to overcoming the multi-performance reliability analysis oriented to complicated mechanical assets.