Abstract:A number of radiation modification approaches have been proposed to counteract anthropogenic warming by intentionally altering Earth's shortwave or longwave fluxes. While several previous studies have examined the climate effect of different radiation modification approaches, only a few have investigated the carbon cycle response. Our study examines the response of plant carbon uptake to four radiation modification approaches that are used to offset the global mean warming caused by a doubling of atmospheric C… Show more
“…Prior studies of the impact of SAI on terrestrial GPP and crop yields, none of which have included the impact of changes in surface ozone but rather focused on changes in climate and radiation available for photosynthesis, have large disagreements in the magnitude and sometimes sign of the impact. Available estimates for the impact of SAI on terrestrial GPP range from a 3.8 Gt C yr −1 increase to a 14.7 C yr −1 decrease (Duan et al., 2020; Xia et al., 2016; Yang et al., 2020), and from a ∼0% change to ∼10% increase for the impact on global crop yields (Fan et al., 2021; Proctor et al., 2018). With regards to acid rain and acid deposition, we find minimal net changes due to chemical feedbacks.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, SAI induced changes in the hydrological cycle could affect both OH production and cloud chemistry rates, all with implications for the net radiative response (Tilmes et al, 2013;Visioni et al, 2017). Other examples include the impacts of SAI on ecosystems and biogenic VOC emissions (Duan et al, 2020;Telford et al, 2010;Xia et al, 2016;Yang et al, 2020) and on stratospheric water vapor. The use of a coupled chemistry-climate model or full Earth System model is also needed to fully characterize the relationship between changes to instantaneous radiative forcing from SAI and the associated chemical feedbacks and ultimate climate response (Szopa et al, 2021).…”
Studies of the impacts of solar geoengineering have mostly ignored tropospheric chemistry. By decreasing the sunlight reaching Earth's surface, geoengineering may help mitigate anthropogenic climate change, but changing sunlight also alters the rates of chemical reactions throughout the troposphere. Using the GEOS‐Chem atmospheric chemistry model, we show that stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) with sulfate, a frequently studied solar geoengineering method, can perturb tropospheric composition over a span of 10 years, increasing tropospheric oxidative capacity by 9% and reducing methane lifetime. SAI decreases the overall flux of shortwave radiation into the troposphere, but increases flux at certain UV wavelengths due to stratospheric ozone depletion. These radiative changes, in turn, perturb tropospheric photochemistry, driving chemical feedbacks that can substantially influence the seasonal and spatial patterns of radiative forcing beyond what is caused by enhanced stratospheric aerosol concentrations alone. For example, chemical feedbacks decrease the radiative effectiveness of geoengineering in northern high latitude summer by 20%. Atmospheric chemical feedbacks also imply the potential for net global public health benefits associated with stratospheric ozone depletion, as the decreases in mortality resulting from SAI‐induced improvements in air quality outweigh the increases in mortality due to increased UV radiation exposure. Such chemical feedbacks also lead to improved plant growth. Our results show the importance of including fuller representations of atmospheric chemistry in studies of solar geoengineering and underscore the risk of surprises from this technology that could carry unexpected consequences for Earth's climate, the biosphere, and human health.
“…Prior studies of the impact of SAI on terrestrial GPP and crop yields, none of which have included the impact of changes in surface ozone but rather focused on changes in climate and radiation available for photosynthesis, have large disagreements in the magnitude and sometimes sign of the impact. Available estimates for the impact of SAI on terrestrial GPP range from a 3.8 Gt C yr −1 increase to a 14.7 C yr −1 decrease (Duan et al., 2020; Xia et al., 2016; Yang et al., 2020), and from a ∼0% change to ∼10% increase for the impact on global crop yields (Fan et al., 2021; Proctor et al., 2018). With regards to acid rain and acid deposition, we find minimal net changes due to chemical feedbacks.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, SAI induced changes in the hydrological cycle could affect both OH production and cloud chemistry rates, all with implications for the net radiative response (Tilmes et al, 2013;Visioni et al, 2017). Other examples include the impacts of SAI on ecosystems and biogenic VOC emissions (Duan et al, 2020;Telford et al, 2010;Xia et al, 2016;Yang et al, 2020) and on stratospheric water vapor. The use of a coupled chemistry-climate model or full Earth System model is also needed to fully characterize the relationship between changes to instantaneous radiative forcing from SAI and the associated chemical feedbacks and ultimate climate response (Szopa et al, 2021).…”
Studies of the impacts of solar geoengineering have mostly ignored tropospheric chemistry. By decreasing the sunlight reaching Earth's surface, geoengineering may help mitigate anthropogenic climate change, but changing sunlight also alters the rates of chemical reactions throughout the troposphere. Using the GEOS‐Chem atmospheric chemistry model, we show that stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) with sulfate, a frequently studied solar geoengineering method, can perturb tropospheric composition over a span of 10 years, increasing tropospheric oxidative capacity by 9% and reducing methane lifetime. SAI decreases the overall flux of shortwave radiation into the troposphere, but increases flux at certain UV wavelengths due to stratospheric ozone depletion. These radiative changes, in turn, perturb tropospheric photochemistry, driving chemical feedbacks that can substantially influence the seasonal and spatial patterns of radiative forcing beyond what is caused by enhanced stratospheric aerosol concentrations alone. For example, chemical feedbacks decrease the radiative effectiveness of geoengineering in northern high latitude summer by 20%. Atmospheric chemical feedbacks also imply the potential for net global public health benefits associated with stratospheric ozone depletion, as the decreases in mortality resulting from SAI‐induced improvements in air quality outweigh the increases in mortality due to increased UV radiation exposure. Such chemical feedbacks also lead to improved plant growth. Our results show the importance of including fuller representations of atmospheric chemistry in studies of solar geoengineering and underscore the risk of surprises from this technology that could carry unexpected consequences for Earth's climate, the biosphere, and human health.
“…While the amount of SRM increases, increased surface cooling tends to suppress plant growth. At high latitudes, the suppression of plant growth is mainly associated with reduced growing season (Glienke et al., 2015), whereas at low latitudes, the suppression of plant growth is mainly associated with reduced nitrogen remineralization and availability (Duan et al., 2020). A stronger SRM also leads to a larger reduction in direct sunlight that decreases carbon uptake for sunlit leaves.…”
Solar radiation modification (SRM) is a proposed method to cool the Earth by intentionally perturbing the Earth's energy balance. One concern about the effect of SRM is disparities in the regional climate response. In this study, we use the Community Earth System Model (CESM1.2) to analyze the regional response of land hydrology and terrestrial carbon uptake to different amounts of SRM. The SRM is implemented by a uniform increase in volcanic‐size sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere under a doubling of atmospheric CO2. Our results show that different amounts of SRM could either moderate or exacerbate CO2‐induced changes in land hydrology including precipitation, precipitation minus evapotranspiration, and soil moisture (SM), but the effect varies widely across regions and specific variables. An “optimal” amount of SRM that moderates land hydrology changes for one region might exacerbate changes for other regions (or vice versa). Also, our study shows that for quite a few regions, partial SRM moderates CO2‐induced change in precipitation minus evaporation but exacerbates changes in CO2‐induced SM. The response of terrestrial Net primary productivity (NPP) to different amounts of SRM shows large regional disparities, depending on whether temperature or water availability constrains NPP more. Our study also shows that the effect of CO2 physiological forcing plays a key role in regulating land hydrology response to SRM, especially at the regional scale.
“…As shown in Figure 6e, sunlit gross primary productivity (GPP) decreases across all latitudes. The reduction of sunlit GPP at high latitudes is mainly associated with suppression of plant growth due to surface cooling, and the reduction of sunlit GPP at low latitudes is mainly associated with the reduction of the nitrogen remineralization rate caused by cooling that reduces nitrogen availability in the soil (Duan et al, 2020). Reduction in direct sunlight reaching the surface further contributes to the decrease in sunlit GPP.…”
Section: Dependence Of Land Vegetation Productivity On the Latitudinal And Altitudinal Distributions Of Stratospheric Aerosol Loadingmentioning
Despite the effort to reduce anthropogenic carbon emissions, continued increase in atmospheric CO 2 indicates that current emission reductions may be insufficient to avoid risks from anthropogenic climate change (Clarke et al., 2014; NAS, 2021;Rogelj et al., 2018). Solar radiation modification (SRM) (also sometimes termed as solar geoengineering), which aims to intentionally reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the surface, has been proposed as a backup option to alleviate some detrimental effects of anthropogenic climate change (Muthyala
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