2002
DOI: 10.1002/etc.5620210602
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A methodology for inferring the causes of observed impairments in aquatic ecosystems

Abstract: Biological surveys have become a common technique for determining whether aquatic communities have been injured. However, their results are not useful for identifying management options until the causes of apparent injuries have been identified. Techniques for determining causation have been largely informal and ad hoc. This paper presents a logical system for causal inference. It begins by analyzing the available information to generate causal evidence; available information may include spatial or temporal as… Show more

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Cited by 101 publications
(43 citation statements)
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“…Predictive performance • 115 proceed to do so?" We paraphrase his definitions of causal criteria (Box 1, Element 1), which remain consistently in such general use (e.g., Dorward-King et al 2001, Downes et al 2002, Suter et al 2002) that we accepted them at the outset of this study. strength (1) refers to the magnitude of the effect of an exposure relative to nonexposure, and consistency (2) to its repeated observation in varied times and circumstances by multiple observers.…”
Section: Causal Criteriamentioning
confidence: 98%
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“…Predictive performance • 115 proceed to do so?" We paraphrase his definitions of causal criteria (Box 1, Element 1), which remain consistently in such general use (e.g., Dorward-King et al 2001, Downes et al 2002, Suter et al 2002) that we accepted them at the outset of this study. strength (1) refers to the magnitude of the effect of an exposure relative to nonexposure, and consistency (2) to its repeated observation in varied times and circumstances by multiple observers.…”
Section: Causal Criteriamentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Further applications have included inferring causes of aquatic ecosystem impairment (Downes et al 2002, Suter et al 2002. Levels of evidence, as applied by Downes and others (2002) to human impacts on waterways, emphasizes a meta-analysis of the literature, applying principles of experimental design and statistics.…”
Section: Elements Of a Levels-of-evidence Approachmentioning
confidence: 98%
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“…From a management perspective, among the greatest limitations of many indicators of coastal condition is the lack of a link with the cause for change (Suter et al 2002). In the development of indicators, distinguishing between measurements of disturbance or stress and measurements of ecosystem response is imperative.…”
Section: Linking Stress With Responsementioning
confidence: 99%
“…This process undermines our attempts to manage for sustainability into the future as managers rely on incomplete perspectives as to what a “natural” assemblage is for a given area and what factors shape it. This is especially acute in freshwater systems where historical data are relatively sparse compared with marine fisheries where shifting baselines were first documented, and where the dendritic nature of streams and rivers serve to aggregate stressors over large spatial and temporal scales, resulting in widespread effects [6][8] and difficulty in attributing causal mechanisms [9], [10]. Modeling and historical reconstruction of community compositions prior to human alteration could help managers correctly set and maintain baselines.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%