A method to estimate the incidence of communicable diseases under seasonal fluctuations with application to cholera

Parameter Estimation of Some Epidemic Models. The Case of Recurrent Epidemics Caused by Respiratory Syncytial Virus

“…In the context of infectious diseases, Alioum et al (2005) have estimated the incidence rate for the human immunodeficiency virus. Closely related to our work, Pourabbas et al (2001) estimated the incidence of communicable diseases under seasonal fluctuations. The work presented by Brunet and Struchiner (1996) also addresses the problem of rate estimation in epidemic models.…”

Climate change is catchy – but when will it really hurt?

“…Most studies do not differentiate the agent of disease, mostly because incidence data reflect only the symptoms at presentation and do not include any laboratory follow-up. The importance of this is illustrated by D'Souza et al, [36] who consi dered the climatic impact on rotavirus infections in children in Australia. They surmise that agent-specific characteristics of transmission explain why an increase in incidence of rotaviral diarrhoeal disease coincides with a drop in temperature (seasonally) when children are confined indoors and person-to-person transmission is facilitated.…”

Deterministic and Stochastic Models for the Spread of Cholera

“…Similar data sets are available for other countries. An additional set of data can be obtained from Pourabbas et al [2] who present a method of estimating the seasonal variation of infection rate in cholera cases using empirical methods. The total number of cholera cases in El Salvador from 9 September 1993 to 2 September 1994 is shown with points in Figure 2(c).…”

“…The models developed are applicable to other water-borne [2] Deterministic and stochastic models for the spread of cholera 235 FIGURE 1. A diagrammatic representation of the spread of cholera.…”

“…Deterministic models for the spread of cholera have also been considered by Das et al [1], Pourabbas et al [2] and Singh and Singh [3].…”