A Large-Scale Group Decision-Making Approach to Assess Water Resource Sustainability with Double-Level Linguistic Preference Relation

Abstract

With the rapid development of science and technology and the continuous progress of society, water resource sustainability has attracted much attention. The assessment process of water resource sustainability has become a hot topic. Because professional models cannot ensure the accuracy of evaluation results, expert judgment techniques are used to perform the assessment process. Meanwhile, to eliminate the biases and consider people’s cognitive processes in complex decision making, this study utilizes a large group of experts to evaluate the sustainability of water resources, which is called a large-scale group water resource sustainability assessment (LGWRSA). This study proposes the double-level linguistic preference relation (DLLPR) to enable experts to present more reasonable and intuitive linguistic opinions. Based on the DLLPR, this study presents a clustering method, a weighting method, and a comprehensive adjustment factor determination method. To prevent minority opinions and non-cooperative behaviors from interfering with the decision-making process and to make the decision-making process develop in an accurate and objective direction, a consensus model is developed to modify minority opinions and suggestions and manage non-cooperative behaviors. After a sufficient number of experts reach a consensus through the method proposed in this article, a more accurate evaluation result can be obtained. Finally, an actual LGWRSA problem is established to derive water resource sustainability expectations for four provinces, which validates the effectiveness of the proposed method. A comparative analysis is performed to illustrate the benefits of these methods and present their shortcomings.