Halocarbons are among the larger drivers of anthropogenic climate change, ranking behind 2 CO E and 4 CH Eand ahead of N 2 O for their direct radiative forcing (Naik et al., 2021;Thornhill et al., 2021). Here, direct radiative forcing only accounts for the heat-trapping properties of these greenhouse gases, discounting any impacts on the radiation balance due to chemical or other feedbacks, with the exception of a stratospheric temperature adjustment (Forster et al., 2016). However, in the case of the halocarbons, ozone depletion provides an important offsetting contribution due to its cooling impact on climate (Myhre et al., 2013;Naik et al., 2021;Thornhill et al., 2021). Earlier efforts to quantify the effective radiative forcing (ERF, which now does account for atmospheric adjustments such as chemical ozone depletion) of halocarbons, or equivalently the radiative forcing associated with the ozone depletion itself, were either limited by disagreements and uncertainty about the magnitude of modeled and observed ozone depletion or relied on very few models, meaning model uncertainty was not well accounted for (Shindell et al., 2013;Søvde et al., 2011;Thornhill et al., 2021). Morgenstern et al. (2020) offered a path forward to quantify their ERF despite the large model disagreements which remain among six interactive-chemistry models available in the 6 th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) ensemble (Eyring et al., 2016). However, their approach, an emergent-constraint technique projecting modeled and observed ozone trends onto the associated ERF, is affected both