A Dynamic Out/in-Migration Model for Rural Depopulation Problems

Katada, Toshitaka; Hirobata, Yasuhiro; Aoshima, Naojiro

doi:10.2208/jscej.1990.419_105

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Furthermore, the subjective evaluations of various living environments in both origin locations and destinations should be considered. In Japan, Katada et al [39] analyzed the case of return migration from an urban city to a rural village in the Aichi Prefecture. They indicated that the gap in the evaluation of the rural and urban living environments influenced the respondents' decisions to move to the urban area.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effects of Differences in Individual Characteristics and Regional Living Environments on the Motivation to Immigrate to Hometowns: A Decision Tree Analysis

et al. 2019

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Population decline and rural–urban population disparities are serious problems in Japan. This study aims to investigate the relationship between people’s motivations to migrate to their hometowns (“U-turn migration”) and their evaluations of the living environments of both their hometowns and current places of residence. An online questionnaire survey was conducted for people living in multiple places in Japan. By using the data of respondents’ U-turn motivations and their evaluations of living environments, we conducted a decision tree analysis to quantitatively describe the multilayered relationship between the environments and people’s motivations, and we focused on patterns that can ameliorate the population disparities. These are the major findings: first, living environments in both the hometown and at the current place of residence affected the U-turn motivations. Second, respondents were divided into several groups based on similar U-turn motivation structures, and with different demographic characters among the groups. Additionally, the evaluations of some living environments tend to depend on the city size or geographic locations. Although some groups’ U-turn migrations may improve population disparities, the improvement and maintenance of living environments are necessary. The results can help local governments in identifying the living environments that need development, and in estimating the feasibility of U-turn migrations.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%