2016
DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stw819
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A degeneracy in DRW modelling of AGN light curves

Abstract: Individual light curves of active galactic nuclei (AGNs) are nowadays successfully modelled with the damped random walk (DRW) stochastic process, characterized by the power exponential covariance matrix of the signal, with the power β = 1. By Monte Carlo simulation means, we generate mock AGN light curves described by non-DRW stochastic processes (0.5 ≤ β ≤ 1.5 and β = 1) and show they can be successfully and well modelled as a single DRW process, obtaining comparable goodness of fits. A good DRW fit, in fact,… Show more

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Cited by 42 publications
(25 citation statements)
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“…Rather than linearly interpolating between light curve points, JAVELIN models the light curves as an autoregressive process using a DRW model and treats the emission-line light curves as scaled, shifted, and smoothed versions of the continuum light curves. The DRW model is observed to be a good description of quasar variability within the time regime relevant to our study (e.g., Kelly et al 2009;Kozłowski et al 2010Kozłowski et al , 2016MacLeod et al 2010MacLeod et al , 2012, so it is an effective prior to describe the light curve between observations. JAVELIN builds a model of both light curves and simultaneously fits a transfer function, maximizing the likelihood of the model and computing uncertainties using the (Bayesian) Markov chain Monte Carlo technique.…”
Section: Lag Measurementsmentioning
confidence: 86%
“…Rather than linearly interpolating between light curve points, JAVELIN models the light curves as an autoregressive process using a DRW model and treats the emission-line light curves as scaled, shifted, and smoothed versions of the continuum light curves. The DRW model is observed to be a good description of quasar variability within the time regime relevant to our study (e.g., Kelly et al 2009;Kozłowski et al 2010Kozłowski et al , 2016MacLeod et al 2010MacLeod et al , 2012, so it is an effective prior to describe the light curve between observations. JAVELIN builds a model of both light curves and simultaneously fits a transfer function, maximizing the likelihood of the model and computing uncertainties using the (Bayesian) Markov chain Monte Carlo technique.…”
Section: Lag Measurementsmentioning
confidence: 86%
“…Only two of the remaining seven sources (J005448+225123 and J010234+050853) have sufficiently short rise times to be considered a viable TDE event(the other five candidates all have a longer rise time than fall time that is not the expected profile). From the spectra of these quasars, we measure Mg II equivalent widths of 1100 km s −1 (J005448+225123) and 4500 km s −1 (J010234+050853), respectively, which give virial black hole masses of log 10 (M/M ) = 7.8 and 8.9 using Kozlowski (2016b). Assuming that the viscous time for the accretion disc is 100 times longer than the orbital period, Guillochon & Ramirez-Ruiz (2015) find that the majority of events associated with black holes below a fiducial mass of log 10 (M/M ) = 7.0 are slowed.…”
Section: Slow Tdesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, there is evidence that the DRW process is no longer appropriate on a short time scale of days (Mushotzky et al 2011;Kasliwal et al 2015;Kozlowski 2016). This impedes the application of our approach in recovering very fine structures (on a timescale of days) in the transfer function.…”
Section: Mrk 817mentioning
confidence: 98%