“…Here, we argue that this phenomenon is another example of Stein's paradox [Efron and Morris, 1977, James and Stein, 1961, Stigler, 1990 We then discuss how this connects to ideas in Monte Carlo sampling, in particular importance sampling, and various improvements such as Riemann sums [Philippe, 1997, Philippe andRobert, 2001] or vertical likelihood integration that applies 'binning and smoothing' using a score-function heurism to choose the weight function [Madrid-Padilla et al, 2018, Polson andScott, 2014]. We then show how the idea of binning and smoothing also improves the HT estimator [Ghosh, 2015] in the apparent weakness example due to Wasserman [2004].…”