A Decision-Support Model for the Generation of Marine Green Tide Disaster Emergency Disposal Plans

Abstract

Green tide is a harmful marine ecological phenomenon caused by the explosive proliferation or high aggregation of some macroalgae, and can cause significant impacts on ecological environments and economies. An effective emergency disposal plan can significantly improve disposal capacity and reduce total costs. At present, the formulation of emergency disposal plans for green tide disasters usually depends on subjective experience. The primary purpose of this paper is to develop a decision-support model based on intelligent algorithms to optimize the type and number of resources when making emergency disposal plans so as to improve the reliability and efficiency of decision making. In order to simulate the decision-making environment more realistically, the drift motion of green tide is considered in this model. Two intelligent algorithms, the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and the improved Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (IMNSGA-II), are used to solve the model and find appropriate emergency disposal plans. Finally, a case study on the green tide disaster that occurred in Qingdao (Yellow Sea, China) is conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness and optimization of the proposed model. Through the model proposed in this paper, the overall response time and cost can be reduced in green tide disaster emergency operations.