Background:Most people would prefer to die at home as opposed to hospital; therefore,
understanding mortality patterns by place of death is essential for health
resources allocation.Aim:We examined trends and risk factors for hospital death in conditions needing
palliative care in a country without integrated palliative care.Design:This is a death certificate study. We examined factors associated with
hospital death using logistic regression.Setting/participants:All adults (1,045,381) who died between 2003 and 2012 in Portugal were
included. We identified conditions needing palliative care from main causes
of death: cancer, heart/cerebrovascular, renal, liver, respiratory and
neurodegenerative diseases, dementia/Alzheimer’s/senility and HIV/AIDS.Results:Conditions needing palliative care were responsible for 70.7% deaths
(N = 738,566, median age 80); heart and cerebrovascular
diseases (43.9%) and cancer (32.2%) accounted for most. There was a trend
towards hospital death (standardised percentage: 56.3% in 2003, 66.7% in
2012; adjusted odds ratio: 1.04, 95% confidence interval: 1.04–1.04).
Hospital death risk was higher for those aged 18–39 years (3.46, 3.25–3.69
vs aged 90+), decreasing linearly with age; lower in
dementia/Alzheimer’s/senility versus cancer (0.13, 0.13–0.13); and higher
for the married and in HIV/AIDS (3.31, 3.00–3.66). Effects of gender,
working status, weekday and month of death, hospital beds availability,
urbanisation level and deprivation were small.Conclusion:The upward hospital death trend and fact that being married are risk factors
for hospital death suggest that a reliance on hospitals may coexist with a
tradition of extended family support. The sustainability of this model needs
to be assessed within the global transition pattern in where people die.