2009
DOI: 10.1080/17513750802304877
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A comparison of probabilistic and stochastic formulations in modelling growth uncertainty and variability

Abstract: We compare two approaches for inclusion of uncertainty/variability in modelling growth in size-structured population models. One entails imposing a probabilistic structure on growth rates in the population while the other involves formulating growth as a stochastic Markov diffusion process. We present a theoretical analysis that allows one to include comparable levels of uncertainty in the two distinct formulations in making comparisons of the two approaches.

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Cited by 28 publications
(43 citation statements)
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“…To better understand rates at the generation number cohort or division number cohort level, one should attempt to develop individual (cohort) dynamics to investigate the CFSE data in a Type I framework of Aggregate Data/Individual (Cohort) Dynamics inverse problems such as those discussed in [1,Chapter 14] and [5]. Similar approaches have been successfully pursued in marine and insect population models [3,6,10,12,22] as well as in physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models in toxicology [5,17]. Fortunately, a simple reformulation of (1) allows such an approach and permits both the accurate quantification of total cells per division number and the accurate estimation of proliferation and death rates in terms of division number in such a framework.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To better understand rates at the generation number cohort or division number cohort level, one should attempt to develop individual (cohort) dynamics to investigate the CFSE data in a Type I framework of Aggregate Data/Individual (Cohort) Dynamics inverse problems such as those discussed in [1,Chapter 14] and [5]. Similar approaches have been successfully pursued in marine and insect population models [3,6,10,12,22] as well as in physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models in toxicology [5,17]. Fortunately, a simple reformulation of (1) allows such an approach and permits both the accurate quantification of total cells per division number and the accurate estimation of proliferation and death rates in terms of division number in such a framework.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This model, referred to as growth rate distributed size-structured (GRDSS) population model, was first formulated in [1,6] in 1986, and has been successfully used to model mosquitofish population in the rice fields, where the data exhibits both bimodality and dispersion in size as time increases (e.g., see [1]). In addition, this model was also used to model the early growth of shrimp populations, which exhibits a great deal of variability in size as time evolves even though the shrimp begin with approximately similar size [3,4]. Based on the above discussions, we see that the GRDSS model can be associated with some stochastic process, which is obtained due to the variability in the individual's growth rate and also the variability in the initial size of individuals in the population.…”
Section: Evolution Of Conditional Probability Density Function Of X(tmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Fokker-Planck equations have also been used in the literature (e.g., [3,8]) to describe the population density in a sizestructured population where the growth process is a diffusion process satisfying the Itô stochastic differential equation. There are several approaches that can be used to derive the Fokker-Planck equation.…”
Section: Equation (22) Is Often Referred To As Fokkerplanck Equationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The fitted curves can be used to approximate the numbers of cells having divided a given number of times. variable environment vs. individual stochastic mechanisms has been treated specifically in [4,11,12,25] as well as more generically in [9,10,16,17]. While probability and stochasticity is fundamental to all of these models, the mathematical constructs used to incorporate asynchrony/variability into the modeling is strikingly different conceptually and computationally.…”
Section: Mathematical Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%