Abstract:Abstract. Solar-terrestrial prediction services in China began in 1969 at the
Beijing Astronomical Observatory (BAO), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). In
1990, BAO joined the International URSIgram and World Days Service (IUWDS)
and started solar-terrestrial data and prediction interchanges with other
members of IUWDS. The short-term solar activity prediction service with
standard URSIgram codes began in January 1991 at BAO, and forecasts have been
issued routinely every weekday from then on. The Regional Wa… Show more
“…High-resolution, high-cadence, and multi-band observations have brought a large amount of data, which leads a problem to space weather forecasters who want to quickly understand the comprehensive situation of the Sun. The Solar Activity Prediction Center (SAPC) of the National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences (NAOC) is a professional institution in China dedicated for the solar activity monitoring and forecasting [21][22][23]. SAPC suggests an overall solar activity monitoring and nowcast scheme based on the ASO-S observations.…”
The Advanced Space-based Solar Observatory (ASO-S) is a mission aiming at exploring solar flares, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), solar magnetic field and their relationships. To fulfill its major scientific objectives, ASO-S has three elaborately-designed payloads onboard: the Full-disk vector MagnetoGraph (FMG), the Lyman-alpha Solar Telescope (LST), and the Hard X-ray Imager (HXI) dedicated to observe vector magnetic fields, CMEs, and flares, respectively. Beside the scientific objectives, we have an operational objective to observe solar eruptions and magnetic field for making related space weather forecasts. More specifically, we have set a priority for the downlink of CME data observed by LST, and will distribute those data to different space weather prediction centers in China within 2 h once the Science Operation and Data Center (SODC) of ASO-S receive the data. After data downlink and archiving, different automatic detection, tracking, and cataloging procedures are planned to run for the most critical solar eruptive features. On the other hand, based on the distributed and downloaded data, different space weather prediction centers are to activate their forecast systems for the ASO-S observed solar eruption events. Our particular interests are currently focused on nowcast of different eruption events, prediction of CME arrivals, forecast of solar flares and the onset of solar eruptions. We are also working on further forecast potentials using the ASO-S data to make contributions to other possible important issues of space weather.
“…High-resolution, high-cadence, and multi-band observations have brought a large amount of data, which leads a problem to space weather forecasters who want to quickly understand the comprehensive situation of the Sun. The Solar Activity Prediction Center (SAPC) of the National Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences (NAOC) is a professional institution in China dedicated for the solar activity monitoring and forecasting [21][22][23]. SAPC suggests an overall solar activity monitoring and nowcast scheme based on the ASO-S observations.…”
The Advanced Space-based Solar Observatory (ASO-S) is a mission aiming at exploring solar flares, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), solar magnetic field and their relationships. To fulfill its major scientific objectives, ASO-S has three elaborately-designed payloads onboard: the Full-disk vector MagnetoGraph (FMG), the Lyman-alpha Solar Telescope (LST), and the Hard X-ray Imager (HXI) dedicated to observe vector magnetic fields, CMEs, and flares, respectively. Beside the scientific objectives, we have an operational objective to observe solar eruptions and magnetic field for making related space weather forecasts. More specifically, we have set a priority for the downlink of CME data observed by LST, and will distribute those data to different space weather prediction centers in China within 2 h once the Science Operation and Data Center (SODC) of ASO-S receive the data. After data downlink and archiving, different automatic detection, tracking, and cataloging procedures are planned to run for the most critical solar eruptive features. On the other hand, based on the distributed and downloaded data, different space weather prediction centers are to activate their forecast systems for the ASO-S observed solar eruption events. Our particular interests are currently focused on nowcast of different eruption events, prediction of CME arrivals, forecast of solar flares and the onset of solar eruptions. We are also working on further forecast potentials using the ASO-S data to make contributions to other possible important issues of space weather.
The magnetic configuration of flare-bearing active regions (ARs) is one key aspect for understanding the initiation of solar flares. In this paper, we perform a comparative analysis on the chiral characteristics and the magnetic configurations of two X-class two-ribbon flares happening in AR 10930 and AR 11158, whose photospheric magnetic fields were observed by the Hinode and SDO satellites, respectively. The corresponding coronal magnetic fields were calculated based on the nonlinear forcefree field model. It is found that both the flares were initiated in local areas with extremely strong electric current density. The chirality of the magnetic field (indicated by the sign of force-free factor α) along the main polarity inversion line (PIL) is opposite for the two ARs, that is, left-handed (α < 0) for AR 10930 and right-handed (α > 0) for AR 11158. The analysis shows that, for both flare events, prominent magnetic connectivity (indicated by both high α and strong current distributions) was formed above the main PIL before the flare and was totally broken after the flare eruption. Yet the two branches of broken magnetic connectivity, combined with the isolated electric current at the magnetic connectivity breaking site, compose the opposite magnetic configurations for the two ARs owing to their opposite chiral characteristics. That is, Z-shaped configuration for AR 10930 with negative α and left-handed chirality, and inverse Z-shaped configuration for AR 11158 with positive α and right-handed chirality. We speculate that two-ribbon flares can be generally classified to these two magnetic configurations by chirality (α sign) of ARs.
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