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Zong, Yongqiang; Tooley, M. J.

doi:10.1023/a:1022942801531

Cited by 35 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…Over recent decades, coastal populations have continued to grow much more rapidly than global mean populations, particularly in less developed countries [Spencer and French, 1993;Hunt, 2005]. Continued urbanization and migration is expected to significantly increase the value of assets found near coasts in the coming century [Nicholls, 1995;Turner et al, 1996;Zong and Tooley, 2003;Mokrech et al, 2012]. Given that 14 out of the world's 17 recognized global megacities (with populations exceeding 10 million) are located in coastal zones [Tibbetts, 2002;Sekovski et al, 2012]; accurately assessing flood risk to these densely populated regions is of critical importance for coastal communities and to guide adaption strategies.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the temporal variability in extreme storm‐tide time series for coastal flood risk assessment

et al. 2014

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The probability of extreme storm-tide events has been extensively studied; however, the variability within the duration of such events and implications to flood risk is less well understood. This research quantifies such variability during extreme storm-tide events (the combined elevation of the tide, surge, and their interactions) at 44 national tide gauges around the UK. Extreme storm-tide events were sampled from water level measurements taken every 15 min between 1993 and 2012. At each site, the variability in elevation at each time step, relative to a given event peak, was quantified. The magnitude of this time series variability was influenced both by gauge location (and hence the tidal and nontidal residual characteristics) and the time relative to high water. The potential influence of this variability on coastal inundation was assessed across all UK gauge sites, followed by a detailed case study of Portsmouth. A two-dimensional hydrodynamic model of the Portsmouth region was used to demonstrate that given a current 1 in 200 year stormtide event, the predicted number of buildings inundated differed by more than 30% when contrasting simulations forced with the upper and lower bounds of the observed time series variability. The results indicate that variability in the time series of the storm-tide event can have considerable influence upon overflow volumes, hence with implications for coastal flood risk assessments. Therefore, further evaluating and representing this uncertainty in future flood risk assessments is vital, while the envelopes of variability defined in this research provides a valuable tool for coastal flood modelers.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the temporal variability in extreme storm‐tide time series for coastal flood risk assessment

et al. 2014

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“…In England (with Wales), 750,000 hectares of ground are below a level of five metres above ordnance datum. Highest tides significantly exceed this level, 588 DPM 23,5 mean high water in some places having been recorded at levels higher than five metres (Zong and Tooley, 2003).…”

Section: Vulnerability Of Place: Englandmentioning

confidence: 93%

“…Development on land prone to flooding has exacerbated England's vulnerabilities: approximately five million properties, one sixth of the UK national total, are at risk; of these, 2.4 million, in which more than five million people live and work, are at risk of flooding from rivers or the sea and one million of these are also at risk of surface water flooding. A further 2.8 million properties are susceptible to surface water flooding alone (Zong and Tooley, 2003). Current changes in sea levels are causing rivers entering the sea to back up, and rainstorms are becoming increasingly severe and more frequent (Pachauri, 2014).…”

Section: Vulnerability Of Place: Englandmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In total, 304 instances of coastal flooding are identified for England during the 207 years from 1788 to 1995 (Zong and Tooley, 2003); 141 on the east coast, 106 on the south coast and 57 on the west coast (numbers for England abstracted). In 2013, seven houses were destroyed by tidal surge and erosion of coastal cliffs; three properties fell into the sea and four more were "seriously undermined" (BBC, 2013).…”

Section: Vulnerability Of Place: Englandmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Processes of vulnerability in England? Place, poverty and susceptibility

Lewis¹,

Lewis

2014

Disaster Prevention and Management

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Purpose -The purpose of this paper is to emphasise how vulnerability is not only "place-based" and to explore by example how vulnerability to hazards in England may comprise additional economic, social and psychological contributors to poverty. The mutuality of poverty and vulnerability is demonstrated, as are examples of susceptibility of the vulnerable to stigmatic disregard and cruelty. Design/methodology/approach -"Place-based" vulnerability is exemplified by coastal vulnerabilities and causes of their increase. Poverty and its causes are explained, followed by examples of possible contributors, indicators and consequences in incomes, living costs and debt; housing welfare and homelessness; food, nutrition, health and mental ill-health. Susceptibility to stigmatic behaviours exacerbate personal vulnerabilities. Findings -Dynamics of mutual inter-relationships between poverty and vulnerability are demonstrated. Behavioural responses to either condition by individuals and by society at large, to which those who are vulnerable or in poverty are susceptible, are described in the present and from history. Research limitations/implications -Findings form a "theoretical reality" upon which some measures may follow. An additional need is identified for long-term social field research to follow adults' and childrens' experiences, and consequences of poverty in vulnerable situations. Practical implications -Vulnerability accrues irrevocably between disasters, the results of which may be exposed by disaster impacts. Social implications -Recognition of linkages between economic and social vulnerability and disasters is essential for subsequent action to reduce the impact of disasters upon society. Originality/value -Though vulnerability has been explored for many years, the dynamics of its contributing processes require further explanation before their wider comprehension is achieved.

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“…Coastal flooding is a major risk to England (Cabinet Office 2010; Cabinet Office 2017) with distinct drivers as compared to other flood types. Coastal flooding occurs through a combination of extreme water levelsdue to storm surge, high tide and wave actioninteracting with England's existing coastal defences to cause the overflowing, overtopping or breaching of the shoreline and defences (Zong and Tooley 2003;Vitousek et al 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%