BackgroundGPs have high consultation rates for symptoms related to knee osteoarthritis (OA). Many risk factors for symptomatic knee OA progression remain unknown.
AimTo define distinct knee pain trajectories in individuals with early symptomatic knee OA and determine the risk factors for these pain trajectories.
Design and settingData were obtained from the multicentre prospective Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee study in the Netherlands. Participants with knee OA, according to the clinical criteria of the American College of Rheumatology, and a completed 5-year follow-up were included.
MethodBaseline demographic, anamnestic, and physical examination characteristics were assessed. Outcome was annually assessed by the Numeric Rating Scale for pain. Pain trajectories were retrieved by latent class growth analysis. Multinomial logistic regression was used to calculate relative risk ratios.
ResultsIn total, 705 participants were included. Six distinct pain trajectories were identified with favourable and unfavourable courses. Statistically significant differences were found in baseline characteristics, including body mass index (BMI), symptom severity, and pain coping strategies between the different trajectories. Higher BMI, lower level of education, greater comorbidity, higher activity limitation scores, and joint space tenderness were more often associated with trajectories characterised by more pain at first presentation and pain progression -compared with the reference group with a mild pain trajectory. No association was found for baseline radiographic features.
ConclusionThese results can help differentiate those patients who require more specific monitoring in the management of early symptomatic knee OA from those for whom a 'wait-and-see' policy seems justifiable. Radiography provided no additional benefit over clinical diagnosis of early symptomatic knee OA in general practice.Keywords disease progression; knee osteoarthritis; knee pain; pain trajectories; primary health care.e32 British Journal of General Practice, January 2016• aged 45-65 years; and• never consulted a physician for these symptoms, or had done so <6 months prior to recruitment to the study.Participants were excluded from the CHECK study if they had:• other pathological conditions that could explain the existing complaints (for example, other rheumatic disease, previous hip or knee joint replacement, congenital dysplasia, osteochondritis dissecans, intraarticular fractures, septic arthritis, Perthes disease, ligament or meniscus injury, plica syndrome, Baker's cyst);• comorbidity that would not allow physical evaluation during 10 years' follow-up;• malignancy in the past 5 years; and• inability to understand Dutch.For the analyses of the current study participants were included if, at baseline, they:• reported knee pain; and• were considered to have knee OA according to the clinical criteria of the American College of Rheumatology.
4,11If a participant had two affected knees, the knee with the worse score based on pain, Kellgren-Lawrenc...