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Köhler, Wilhelm; Keuschnigg, Christian

doi:10.1023/a:1010929126735

Cited by 8 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…The resulting cost estimate is somewhat higher than the Commission estimate evidenced in the financial framework for 1999-2000 [seeKohler & Keuschnigg (2000)]. …”

mentioning

confidence: 77%

“…4 A priori, the gains are more significant on the import than on the export side. Under perfect competition, there is a direct gain from cheaper imports, whereas on the export side the gain comes about only indirectly through a terms-of-trade effect [see Kohler & Keuschnigg (2000)].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Obviously, there are alternative strategies, and countries take opposite positions. In Kohler & Keuschnigg (2000) we have presented the alternative fiscal burden resulting for each individual member country if the EU would increase own resources or, alternatively, down-size the return payments from Common Agricultural Policy, or cut European Regional and Structural Funds.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For more details and alternative calculations, see the appendix toKeuschnigg & Kohler (1999), as well asKohler & Keuschnigg (2000) 22. The difference between this figure and the welfare effect in column 3 of Table2is due to the nonlinear nature of the computational model.…”

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confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Eastern Enlargement of the EU: Jobs, Investment, and Welfare in Present Member Countries

Heijdra,

Keuschnigg,

Kohler

2004

Managing European Union Enlargement

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Eastern enlargement of the EU promises gains, but also imposes fiscal costs on incumbent countries. A sensitive issue concerns immigration, jobs and wages. We address these issues in a general equilibrium framework, both analytically and through numerical simulations. Analytical results identify capital accumulation as a prime transmission channel. Using a dynamic CGE model with search unemployment of high-and low-skilled labor, we simulate the effects of enlargement on Germany finding small effects from trade, but more pronounced labor market effects from migration. Based on German model elasticities, we approximate expected benefits and costs for other member countries as well.

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“…The resulting cost estimate is somewhat higher than the Commission estimate evidenced in the financial framework for 1999-2000 [seeKohler & Keuschnigg (2000)]. …”

mentioning

confidence: 77%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Eastern Enlargement of the EU: Jobs, Investment, and Welfare in Present Member Countries

Heijdra,

Keuschnigg,

Kohler

2004

Managing European Union Enlargement

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Eastern enlargement of the EU: a comprehensive welfare assessment

Köhler

2004

Journal of Policy Modeling

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This paper takes a welfare-view on eastern enlargement of the EU, focusing on incumbent countries. Enlargement is decomposed into three elements: Single-market integration on commodity markets, budgetary costs from EU-expenditure policies, and singlemarket-induced migration from new to present member countries. I first use an analytical model to derive a welfare equation that identifies the principle channels for incumbent country welfare gains and losses from enlargement, including product differentiation, capital accumulation, and unemployment due to search-costs. I then propose a method that allows to extend welfare results obtained from a detailed calibrated version of this model for Germany to other incumbent countries. The approach relies on model elasticities extracted from the German model which are then applied to other countriesí diosyncratic "enlargement-shocks". Constructing detailed indices for such country specific "enlargement-shocks", I arrive at characteristic inter-country pattern of enlargement-induced welfare effects for all EU15 countries. Aggregating these across countries reveals enlargement to be beneficial for the union as a whole, although several countries stand to suffer welfare losses.

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An empirical model of transfers within a federation, with an application to the European Union

Deltas

Beek

2003

Journal of Urban Economics

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Untitled

Cited by 8 publications

References 19 publications

Eastern Enlargement of the EU: Jobs, Investment, and Welfare in Present Member Countries

Eastern Enlargement of the EU: Jobs, Investment, and Welfare in Present Member Countries

Eastern enlargement of the EU: a comprehensive welfare assessment

An empirical model of transfers within a federation, with an application to the European Union

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