Background
Left Ventricular (LV) afterload is composed of systemic vascular resistance (SVR) and components of pulsatile load, including total arterial compliance (TAC) and reflection magnitude (RM). RM, which impacts the LV systolic loading sequence, has been shown to strongly predict HF. Effective arterial elastance is a commonly used parameter initially proposed to be a lumped index of resistive and pulsatile afterload. We sought to assess how various LV afterload parameters predict heart failure (HF) risk and whether RM predicts HF independent of subclinical atherosclerosis.
Methods
We studied 4345 MESA participants who underwent radial arterial tonometry and cardiac output (CO) measurements using cardiac MRI. RM was computed as the ratio of the backward (Pb) to forward (Pf) waves. TAC was approximated as the ratio of stroke volume (SV) to central pulse pressure. SVR was computed as mean pressure/CO. Ea was computed as central end-systolic pressure/SV.
Results
During 10.3 years of follow-up, 91 definite HF events occurred. SVR (P=0.74), TAC (P=0.81) and Ea (P=0.81) were not predictive of HF risk. RM was associated with an increased HF risk, even after adjustment for other parameters of arterial load, various confounders, and markers of subclinical atherosclerosis (standardized HR=1.49; 95%CI=1.18-1.88; P=0.001). Pb was also associated with an increased risk of HF after adjustment for Pf (standardized HR=1.43; 95%CI=1.17-1.75]; P=0.001).
Conclusion
RM is an important independent predictor of HF risk, whereas; TAC, SVR, and Ea are not. Our findings support the importance of the systolic LV loading sequence on HF risk, independent of subclinical atherosclerosis.