“…There have been several studies discussing the validity of the linear assumption in weather forecasting, such as those by Errico et al (1993), Vukićević and Errico (1993), Errico and Raeder (1999), Janisková et al (1999), Mahfouf (1999) or Gilmour et al (2001). As summarized by Pires et al (1996), the general conclusion is that, for large-scale flows, the linear approximation is valid for periods of two to three days and, for mesoscale flows, for periods of the order of 36 hours.…”