Abstract:Arenaviruses represent a family of viruses that are naturally present in rodents belonging to subfamily Murinae, Neotominae or Sigmodontinae. Except for Lassa virus, little information is available on other Old-World arenaviruses. Here, we describe strain AnRB3214, a virus isolated from a presumed Praomys sp. rodent in the Central African Republic in 1981 and assigned to Ippy virus based on antigenic similarity. The strain was simultaneously sequenced on Illumina NovaSeq 6000 and MinION Mk1B devices and analys… Show more
“…As reported for other mammarenaviruses, the virus may only be present in the M. natalensis subtaxon A-I 36 , 37 . Records of Lassa virus infection in M. natalensis subtaxon A-II 76 and in other rodent species including M. erythroleucus or Hylomyscus pamfi 77 suggest, however, that susceptibility to Lassa virus infection may not be species or subtaxon specific. Other possible explanatory factors include intra-host competition between different viruses 38 , 78 , or cross-immunity due to the circulation of closely related viruses 40 , 41 .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…As most other old world arenaviruses that circulate in M. natalensis are found only in East Africa 12 , 36 , 37 , there is little data to assess these two mechanisms based on field data. Only in Mayo-Ranewo (Taraba state, eastern Nigeria), rodent trapping studies have identified a Mobala-like virus in M. natalensis 76 , 79 , which does not seem to effectively restrict the transmission of Lassa virus, as human infections are often reported in that state of Nigeria 80 .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, some factors may hinder virus dispersal following a hypothetical introduction into a new ecologically suitable region. First, in our analyses, as there is evidence that Lassa virus infection may not be species or subtaxon-specific 76 , 77 , we considered the entire M. natalensis species to be susceptible to Lassa virus infection. It is, however, possible that the virus spreads less (or more) efficiently in a different subtaxon of M. natalensis .…”
Lassa fever is a severe viral hemorrhagic fever caused by a zoonotic virus that repeatedly spills over to humans from its rodent reservoirs. It is currently not known how climate and land use changes could affect the endemic area of this virus, currently limited to parts of West Africa. By exploring the environmental data associated with virus occurrence using ecological niche modelling, we show how temperature, precipitation and the presence of pastures determine ecological suitability for virus circulation. Based on projections of climate, land use, and population changes, we find that regions in Central and East Africa will likely become suitable for Lassa virus over the next decades and estimate that the total population living in ecological conditions that are suitable for Lassa virus circulation may drastically increase by 2070. By analysing geotagged viral genomes using spatially-explicit phylogeography and simulating virus dispersal, we find that in the event of Lassa virus being introduced into a new suitable region, its spread might remain spatially limited over the first decades.
“…As reported for other mammarenaviruses, the virus may only be present in the M. natalensis subtaxon A-I 36 , 37 . Records of Lassa virus infection in M. natalensis subtaxon A-II 76 and in other rodent species including M. erythroleucus or Hylomyscus pamfi 77 suggest, however, that susceptibility to Lassa virus infection may not be species or subtaxon specific. Other possible explanatory factors include intra-host competition between different viruses 38 , 78 , or cross-immunity due to the circulation of closely related viruses 40 , 41 .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…As most other old world arenaviruses that circulate in M. natalensis are found only in East Africa 12 , 36 , 37 , there is little data to assess these two mechanisms based on field data. Only in Mayo-Ranewo (Taraba state, eastern Nigeria), rodent trapping studies have identified a Mobala-like virus in M. natalensis 76 , 79 , which does not seem to effectively restrict the transmission of Lassa virus, as human infections are often reported in that state of Nigeria 80 .…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, some factors may hinder virus dispersal following a hypothetical introduction into a new ecologically suitable region. First, in our analyses, as there is evidence that Lassa virus infection may not be species or subtaxon-specific 76 , 77 , we considered the entire M. natalensis species to be susceptible to Lassa virus infection. It is, however, possible that the virus spreads less (or more) efficiently in a different subtaxon of M. natalensis .…”
Lassa fever is a severe viral hemorrhagic fever caused by a zoonotic virus that repeatedly spills over to humans from its rodent reservoirs. It is currently not known how climate and land use changes could affect the endemic area of this virus, currently limited to parts of West Africa. By exploring the environmental data associated with virus occurrence using ecological niche modelling, we show how temperature, precipitation and the presence of pastures determine ecological suitability for virus circulation. Based on projections of climate, land use, and population changes, we find that regions in Central and East Africa will likely become suitable for Lassa virus over the next decades and estimate that the total population living in ecological conditions that are suitable for Lassa virus circulation may drastically increase by 2070. By analysing geotagged viral genomes using spatially-explicit phylogeography and simulating virus dispersal, we find that in the event of Lassa virus being introduced into a new suitable region, its spread might remain spatially limited over the first decades.
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