Context
The cardiometabolic significance of subclinical liver fat in otherwise healthy persons is unclear.
Objective
To evaluate the association of hepatic steatosis/fibrosis with cardiometabolic risk markers and incident prediabetes among healthy adults.
Methods
This is a post hoc analysis of data from the Pathobiology of Prediabetes in a Biracial Cohort (POP-ABC) study. The participants underwent assessments, including clinical examination, OGTT, insulin sensitivity, insulin secretion, plasma hsCRP, and adiponectin levels, with the primary outcome of incident prediabetes during 5-year follow-up. Liver steatosis and fibrosis were assessed using the hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and the Fibrosis-4 (Fib-4) index and participants were stratified by baseline quartiles (Q) of each index.
Results
Among 343 (193 African American, 150 European American) participants (mean age 44.2 ± 10.6 yr, BMI 30.2 ± 7.28 kg/m2, fasting glucose 91.8 ± 6.80 mg/dl, and 2-hr glucose 125 ± 26.5 mg/dl), the mean baseline HSI was 39.7 ± 8.21 and Fib-4 index was 0.80 ± 0.41. Baseline HSI correlated with insulin sensitivity (r = -0.44, P < 0.0001), hsCRP (r = 0.37, P < 0.0001), and adiponectin (r = -0.24, P < 0.0001), as did Fib-4 index: insulin sensitivity (r = 0.14, P = 0.046), hsCRP (r = -0.17, P = 0.0021), adiponectin (r = -0.22, P < 0.0001). During 5 years of follow-up, prediabetes occurred in 16.2%, 21.6%, 31.5% and 30.6% among participants in Q1 to Q4 of baseline HSI, respectively (logrank P = 0.02). The prediabetes hazard ratio was 1.138 [95% CI 1.027-1.261] for baseline HSI.
Conclusion
Among initially normoglycemic individuals, hepatic steatosis predicted progression to prediabetes, probably via mechanisms that involve insulin resistance and inflammation.