Identification of novel risk biomarkers may enhance early detection of smoking-related lung cancer. We measured 1,162 proteins in blood samples drawn at most three years before diagnosis in 731 smoking-matched case-control sets nested within six prospective cohorts from the US, Europe, Singapore, and Australia.
We identified 36 proteins with replicable associations with risk of imminent lung cancer diagnosis (all p<4x10-5). These included several documented tumor markers (e.g. CA-125/MUC-16 and CEACAM5/CEA) but most had not been previously reported. The 36 proteins included several growth factors (e.g. HGF, IGFBP-1, IGFP-2), tumor necrosis factor-receptors (e.g. TNFRSF6B, TNFRSF13B), and chemokines and cytokines (e.g. CXL17, GDF-15, SCF). The odds ratio per standard deviation ranged from 1.31 for IGFBP-1 (95% CI: 1.17-1.47) to 2.43 for CEACAM5 (95% CI: 2.04-2.89). We mapped the 36 proteins to the hallmarks of cancer and found that proliferative signaling, tumor-promoting inflammation, and activation of invasion and metastasis were most frequently implicated.