Abstract:Observational cohort studies can provide rich datasets with a diverse range of phenotypic variables. However, hypothesis-driven epidemiological analyses by definition only test particular hypotheses chosen by researchers. Furthermore, observational analyses may not provide robust evidence of causality, as they are susceptible to confounding, reverse causation and measurement error. Using body mass index (BMI) as an exemplar, we demonstrate a novel extension to the phenome-wide association study (pheWAS) approa… Show more
“…Our findings provide strong support for undertaking RCTs in obese people to test the effect of triacylglycerol reduction and glycaemic control on CHD risk. Several MR studies have previously examined the association of BMI with CHD and CHD risk factors [11,12,14,24,25]. Our results are broadly consistent with those, including our finding of no evidence for the causal association between BMI and LDL-cholesterol [12,24,26].…”
Aims/hypothesis The extent to which effects of BMI on CHD are mediated by glycaemic and lipid risk factors is unclear. In this study we examined the effects of these traits using genetic evidence. Methods We used two-sample Mendelian randomisation to determine: (1) the causal effect of BMI on CHD (60,801 case vs 123,504 control participants), type 2 diabetes (34,840 case vs 114,981 control participants), fasting glucose (n = 46,186), insulin (n = 38,238), HbA 1c (n = 46,368) and LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol and triacylglycerols (n = 188,577); (2) the causal effects of glycaemic and lipids traits on CHD; and (3) the extent to which these traits mediate any effect of BMI on CHD.
“…Our findings provide strong support for undertaking RCTs in obese people to test the effect of triacylglycerol reduction and glycaemic control on CHD risk. Several MR studies have previously examined the association of BMI with CHD and CHD risk factors [11,12,14,24,25]. Our results are broadly consistent with those, including our finding of no evidence for the causal association between BMI and LDL-cholesterol [12,24,26].…”
Aims/hypothesis The extent to which effects of BMI on CHD are mediated by glycaemic and lipid risk factors is unclear. In this study we examined the effects of these traits using genetic evidence. Methods We used two-sample Mendelian randomisation to determine: (1) the causal effect of BMI on CHD (60,801 case vs 123,504 control participants), type 2 diabetes (34,840 case vs 114,981 control participants), fasting glucose (n = 46,186), insulin (n = 38,238), HbA 1c (n = 46,368) and LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol and triacylglycerols (n = 188,577); (2) the causal effects of glycaemic and lipids traits on CHD; and (3) the extent to which these traits mediate any effect of BMI on CHD.
“…‘area under the BMI curve’) when compared to a one-time measure or even repeated measures of BMI recorded during cohort studies. 46 This might account for the numerically, albeit non-significantly, greater estimated causal effect of BMI on incident AF we obtained using genetic instruments compared to observational estimates. Similar discordance in instrumental and observational estimates has been reported for the association between BMI-increasing genetic variants and coronary disease risk.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 87%
“…40 Alternatively, pleiotropy – in which the selected genetic variants mediate AF risk through a non-BMI pathway – might account for some of the discordance in risk estimates. 46 The association between the genetic instruments and AF, however, remained significant after adjustment for several possible pleiotropic mediators including hypertension and coronary heart disease. In addition, our finding that adjustment for observed BMI nullified the statistical association between the genetic instruments and AF supports BMI as the causal mediator of the association between the genetic instruments and incident AF, and argues against a major contribution from pleiotropic effects.…”
Background
Observational studies have identified an association between body mass index (BMI) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). Inferring causality from observational studies, however, is subject to residual confounding, reverse causation, and bias. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the causal association between BMI and AF using genetic predictors of BMI.
Methods
We identified 51 646 individuals of European ancestry without AF at baseline from seven prospective population-based cohorts initiated between 1987 and 2002 in the United States, Iceland, and the Netherlands with incident AF ascertained between 1987 and 2012. Cohort-specific mean follow-up ranged 7.4 to 19.2 years, over which period there were a total of 4178 cases of incident AF. We performed a Mendelian randomization with instrumental variable analysis to estimate a cohort-specific causal hazard ratio for the association between BMI and AF. Two genetic instruments for BMI were utilized: FTO genotype (rs1558902) and a BMI gene score comprised of 39 single nucleotide polymorphisms identified by genome-wide association studies to be associated with BMI. Cohort-specific estimates were combined by random-effects, inverse variance weighted meta-analysis.
Results
In age- and sex-adjusted meta-analysis, both genetic instruments were significantly associated with BMI (FTO: 0.43 [95% CI: 0.32 – 0.54] kg/m2 per A-allele, p<0.001); BMI gene score: 1.05 [95% CI: 0.90-1.20] kg/m2 per 1 unit increase, p<0.001) and incident AF (FTO – HR: 1.07 [1.02-1.11] per A-allele, p=0.004; BMI gene score – HR: 1.11 [1.05-1.18] per 1-unit increase, p<0.001). Age- and sex-adjusted instrumental variable estimates for the causal association between BMI and incident AF were HR 1.15 [1.04-1.26] per kg/m2, p=0.005 (FTO) and 1.11 [1.05-1.17] per kg/m2, p<0.001 (BMI gene score). Both of these estimates were consistent with the meta-analyzed estimate between observed BMI and AF (age- and sex-adjusted HR 1.05 [1.04-1.06] per kg/m2, p<0.001). Multivariable adjustment did not significantly change findings.
Conclusions
Our data are consistent with a causal relationship between BMI and incident AF. These data support the possibility that public health initiatives targeting primordial prevention of obesity may reduce the incidence of AF.
“…A novel extension to the phenome-wide association study (pheWAS) approach20, using Bonferroni corrections, permutation testing and estimates of the false discovery rate to consider the strength of results given the number of tests performed demonstrated strongly associated outcomes included DBP and BMI with lipid profiles. They also found novel evidence of effects of BMI on a global self-worth score.…”
To determine whether the integrative variants, haplotypes and diplotypes of the calpain 3 (CAPN3) and the FERM domain containing 5 genes (FRMD5) and several environmental exposures are associated with an implication in lipid homeostasis, which are associated with cardiovascular risk. Genotyping of the CAPN3 rs4344713 and FRMD5 rs524908 was performed by Sanger sequencing in 1,640 subjects (Jing, 819 and Han, 821). Multivariate analyses of covariance models that adjusted by age, gender, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure and lifestyle (smoking and drinking), were constructed using variants, haplotypes and diplotypes of the CAPN3 rs4344713 and FRMD5 rs524908 as predictors and changes in lipid variables. Significant associations with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and apolipoprotein (Apo) B were found. Linkage disequilibrium with each other showed the haplotype-phenotype associations with triglyceride and ApoA1. This study also suggested pleiotropic associations of the CAPN3-FRMD5 diplotypes with lipid variables. As potential confounders, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and BMI were significantly associated with lipid variables. We conclude that integrative variants, haplotypes and diplotypes of the CAPN3 rs4344713 and FRMD5 rs524908, as well as DBP and BMI are associated with serum lipid variables in the Jing and Han populations.
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