“…To obtain simulated errors based on an autocorrelation of .3, the autoregressive parameter matrix was set to {1 −.3}, the moving average parameter matrix was set to {1 0}, and a standard deviation of the independent portion of the error was set to 1.0 (for details on the simulation algorithm see Woodfield, 1988). The effect vector was coded to have values of 0 for all baseline observations, and values of d for all intervention phase observations, and thus d corresponds to the mean shift between intervention and baseline observations in standard deviation units, (μ B -μ A )/σ (see Busk & Serlin, 2005), where the standard deviation is based on the independent portion of the within-case error term (see, for example, Levin, Ferron, & Kratochwill, 2012) (for an alternative operationalization of d that corresponds mathematically to a conventional groups effect-size measure, see Shadish et al (2014)). The value of d was varied to examine the one-tailed Type I error probability for d = 0 and the powers for ds ranging from .5 to 5 in increments of .5.…”