Importações brasileiras: Um estudo empírico sobre duração e fatores de sobrevivência

Campos, Camila F. S.; Cavaletti, Monique Betto

doi:10.5935/0034-7140.20160014

Cited by 1 publication

(5 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…The hazard rate is decreasing with time given the negative coefficient of the log of time. This result is similar with the literature on trade duration (Besedeš & Prusa, 2006;Campos & Cavaletti, 2016; Hess & Persson, 2011). We do not include the duration dummies coefficients in the table, but as the graphical analysis below will show, they behave in a very similar fashion as the logarithmic baseline hazard.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 91%

“…The average duration of spells is 3.28 quarters, and the median is 1 quarter. Campos and Cavaletti (2016) find similar distribution of import spells in Brazil in annual frequency between 1992 and 2012. Besedeš and Prusa (2017) find a median of 1 quarter and an average of 3.91 quarters with quarterly data for the US between 1990 and 2006.…”

Section: Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 83%

“…This result is not theoretically expected as trade costs are expected to increase with distance, and therefore the hazard rate. Studies with annual and more aggregated data find this coefficient positive (Campos & Cavaletti, 2016; Hess & Persson, 2011), but Besedeš and Prusa (2017) using quarterly data and a 10‐digit HS product level also find a negative coefficient for distance.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The model involves a functional form for the baseline hazard. The duration of trade literature shows empirically that the hazard rate falls over time in a monotonic way (Besedeš & Prusa, 2006; Campos & Cavaletti, 2016; Hess & Persson, 2011). To keep some compatibility with Besedeš and Prusa (2017), the baseline hazard is modelled as the logarithm of time.…”

Section: Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Nitsch (2009) confirms that import spells are short lived with German data from 1995 to 2002, calculating that 50% of imports last only one year, with a median duration of 2 years. Campos and Cavaletti (2016), analysing Brazilian data in annual frequency between 1992 and 2012, find a median import duration of 1 year.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

See 4 more Smart Citations

Does antidumping drive exporters out of the market? Some evidence from Brazil

Mazzucco

Bittencourt

2022

World Economy

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This study quantifies the effect of antidumping investigations on the likelihood of an exporter being excluded from the domestic market in Brazil, a large developing country and a heavy user of antidumping measures (AD). A survival analysis methodology is used to measure the probability of exit with quarterly country–product data on imports and antidumping actions between 1997 and 2017. The results show that, during the course of an investigation, products from targeted countries present, on average, a 33% higher probability of ending a spell of trade compared to non‐targeted countries. We also identify at which stage of the investigation this effect is larger, whether at the beginning of the investigation, during the preliminary determination phase, or after the final duties are imposed. The results indicate that the effects are concentrated in the final phase, after the final determination, with a 47% increase in the hazard rate.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 91%

Section: Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 83%