“…Regarding the literature on Brazilian business cycles, our paper is related to the work of Contador (1977), Cardoso (1981), Contador & Santos Filho (1987), Nakane (1994), Contador & Ferraz (1999), Spacov (2001), Issler & Spacov (2000), Chauvet (1998Chauvet ( , 2001Chauvet ( , 2002, Picchetti & Toledo (2002), Duarte, Issler, & Spacov (2004), Hollauer, Issler, & Notini (2009), BCB/Copom (2010), , and Issler, Notini, Rodrigues, & Soares (2013).…”