Historical epidemiology and global health history

RESUMEN La historia de la viruela en Argentina, peligrosa enfermedad infecciosa y epidémica, se estudia a través de las diversas políticas públicas desde el siglo XIX al XX. Se enlaza a la enfermedad y a su principal terapia, la vacuna, que involucra las prácticas médicas y el derecho al uso individual del cuerpo, frente al significado social y colectivo inmerso en la inmunización universal. También se analiza la relación entre los gobiernos de diverso signo político y la comunidad internacional frente a la producción de vacunas y las campañas de vacunación desde su implementación hasta la erradicación de la enfermedad.

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Early Spatiotemporal Patterns and Population Characteristics of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Southeast Asia

Zhu

Jirapat

Guan

et al. 2021

Healthcare

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This observational study aims to investigate the early disease patterns of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Southeast Asia, consequently providing historical experience for further interventions. Data were extracted from official websites of the WHO and health authorities of relevant countries. A total of 1346 confirmed cases of COVID-19, with 217 recoveries and 18 deaths, were reported in Southeast Asia as of 16 March 2020. The basic reproductive number (R0) of COVID-19 in the region was estimated as 2.51 (95% CI:2.31 to 2.73), and there were significant geographical variations at the subregional level. Early transmission dynamics were examined with an exponential regression model: y = 0.30e0.13x (p < 0.01, R2 = 0.96), which could help predict short-term incidence. Country-level disease burden was positively correlated with Human Development Index (r = 0.86, p < 0.01). A potential early shift in spatial diffusion patterns and a spatiotemporal cluster occurring in Malaysia and Singapore were detected. Demographic analyses of 925 confirmed cases indicated a median age of 44 years and a sex ratio (male/female) of 1.25. Age may play a significant role in both susceptibilities and outcomes. The COVID-19 situation in Southeast Asia is challenging and unevenly geographically distributed. Hence, enhanced real-time surveillance and more efficient resource allocation are urgently needed.

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Historical epidemiology and global health history

Cited by 3 publications

References 17 publications

Historical Epidemiology and the Single Pathogen Model of Epidemic Disease

Historical Epidemiology and the Single Pathogen Model of Epidemic Disease

La viruela y las políticas de inmunización en Argentina en el largo plazo

Early Spatiotemporal Patterns and Population Characteristics of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Southeast Asia

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