2008
DOI: 10.1590/s0102-311x2008000300013
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A transição da estrutura etária da população brasileira na primeira metade do século XXI

Abstract: A transição da estrutura etária da população brasileira na primeira metade do século XXI IntroduçãoEste artigo analisa a provável trajetória da estrutura etária da população brasileira durante a primeira metade do século XXI, dando ênfase especial ao rápido envelhecimento populacional. Há de se chamar atenção para dois pontos essenciais:• Por se tratar de projeções, os mais céticos podem se sentir inclinados a tomá-las como um simples exercício de futurologia, em que inúme-ros cenários alternativos seriam pro… Show more

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Cited by 119 publications
(112 citation statements)
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“…5 The polled results may be overestimates: several studies were conducted in large urban centers, a factor associated with higher depression rates. 58 In addition, the demographic transition in Brazil over the past years, 71 with dramatic growth of the middle class, may also have influenced the results found, as depression is more common in lower social strata. 72 To mitigate potential bias, we performed sensitive searches, and the results were assessed by independent researchers.…”
Section: Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…5 The polled results may be overestimates: several studies were conducted in large urban centers, a factor associated with higher depression rates. 58 In addition, the demographic transition in Brazil over the past years, 71 with dramatic growth of the middle class, may also have influenced the results found, as depression is more common in lower social strata. 72 To mitigate potential bias, we performed sensitive searches, and the results were assessed by independent researchers.…”
Section: Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since the second half of the twentieth century, Brazil has experienced significant demographic changes 1 and changes to its populational morbidity-mortality and disability profiles. However, in contrast to developed countries, the Brazilian epidemiological transition has been marked by the simultaneous existence of high rates of morbidity and mortality from chronic non-communicable diseases (CNCDs) and the permanence or resurgence of infectious and parasitic diseases 2 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Brazil, it is estimated that by the year 2050 almost 20% of the population will be over 65 years of age 2 , with a significant impact on financing the national health system 3 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%