Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe

Lake, Iain R.; Jones, Natalia R.; Agnew, Maureen D.; Goodess, C. M.; Giorgi, Filippo; Hamaoui-Laguel, Lynda; Semenov, Mikhail A.; Solomon, Fabien; Storkey, Jonathan; Vautard, Robert; Epstein, Michelle M.

doi:10.1289/ehp173

Cited by 233 publications

(168 citation statements)

References 26 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

152

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…The selection of countries was based on a recent review in European countries [22] and the known ragweed pollen season in the former Yugoslavian countries [23], Canada, Russia, and Ukraine [24]. It is unclear how generalisable these findings are beyond these 15 countries under study.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Differences in Reporting the Ragweed Pollen Season Using Google Trends across 15 Countries

Bousquet

Agache

Berger

et al. 2018

Int Arch Allergy Immunol

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Background: Google Trends (GT) searches trends of specific queries in Google, which potentially reflect the real-life epidemiology of allergic rhinitis. We compared GT terms related to ragweed pollen allergy in American and European Union countries with a known ragweed pollen season. Our aim was to assess seasonality and the terms needed to perform the GT searches and to compare these during the spring and summer pollen seasons. Methods: We examined GT queries from January 1, 2011, to January 4, 2017. We included 15 countries with a known ragweed pollen season and used the standard 5-year GT graphs. We used the GT translation for all countries and the untranslated native terms for each country. Results: The results of “pollen,” “ragweed,” and “allergy” searches differed between countries, but “ragweed” was clearly identified in 12 of the 15 countries. There was considerable heterogeneity of findings when the GT translation was used. For Croatia, Hungary, Romania, Serbia, and Slovenia, the GT translation was inappropriate. The country patterns of “pollen,” “hay fever,” and “allergy” differed in 8 of the 11 countries with identified “ragweed” queries during the spring and the summer, indicating that the perception of tree and grass pollen allergy differs from that of ragweed pollen. Conclusions: To investigate ragweed pollen allergy using GT, the term “ragweed” as a plant is required and the translation of “ragweed” in the native language needed.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…material, see www.karger.com/doi/10.1159/000488391). They were European countries defined in a recent paper [22], former Yugoslavian countries [23], Canada, Russia, the USA, and Ukraine [24]. …”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Differences in Reporting the Ragweed Pollen Season Using Google Trends across 15 Countries

Bousquet

Agache

Berger

et al. 2018

Int Arch Allergy Immunol

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Ragweed is known to arise in areas of human disturbances (Forman and Alexander 1998;Larson 2003) and is found mainly in disturbed or developed areas such as cities and farms (Katz et al, 2014;Clay et al, 2006). Ambrosia land cover (Fig.…”

Section: Land Cover Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

A prognostic pollen emissions model for climate models (PECM1.0)

Wozniak

Steiner

2017

Geosci. Model Dev.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. We develop a prognostic model called Pollen Emissions for Climate Models (PECM) for use within regional and global climate models to simulate pollen counts over the seasonal cycle based on geography, vegetation type, and meteorological parameters. Using modern surface pollen count data, empirical relationships between prior-year annual average temperature and pollen season start dates and end dates are developed for deciduous broadleaf trees (Acer, Alnus, Betula, Fraxinus, Morus, Platanus, Populus, Quercus, Ulmus), evergreen needleleaf trees (Cupressaceae, Pinaceae), grasses (Poaceae; C 3 , C 4 ), and ragweed (Ambrosia). This regression model explains as much as 57 % of the variance in pollen phenological dates, and it is used to create a "climate-flexible" phenology that can be used to study the response of wind-driven pollen emissions to climate change. The emissions model is evaluated in the Regional Climate Model version 4 (RegCM4) over the continental United States by prescribing an emission potential from PECM and transporting pollen as aerosol tracers. We evaluate two different pollen emissions scenarios in the model using (1) a taxa-specific land cover database, phenology, and emission potential, and (2) a plant functional type (PFT) land cover, phenology, and emission potential. The simulated surface pollen concentrations for both simulations are evaluated against observed surface pollen counts in five climatic subregions. Given prescribed pollen emissions, the RegCM4 simulates observed concentrations within an order of magnitude, although the performance of the simulations in any subregion is strongly related to the land cover representation and the number of observation sites used to create the empirical phenological relationship. The taxa-based model provides a better representation of the phenology of tree-based pollen counts than the PFT-based model; however, we note that the PFT-based version provides a useful and "climate-flexible" emissions model for the general representation of the pollen phenology over the United States.

show abstract

“…There is the potential for research to inform planting, land management and development practices in order to reduce allergy risk [76]. For example, there is currently a widespread preference for planting only male trees along roadsides to avoid street litter from seeds and fruit produced by female trees.…”

Section: Aeroallergens/aerosols Risk: the Case Of Pollenmentioning

confidence: 99%

Beyond Climate Change and Health: Integrating Broader Environmental Change and Natural Environments for Public Health Protection and Promotion in the UK

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Increasingly, the potential short and long-term impacts of climate change on human health and wellbeing are being demonstrated. However, other environmental change factors, particularly relating to the natural environment, need to be taken into account to understand the totality of these interactions and impacts. This paper provides an overview of ongoing research in the Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) on Environmental Change and Health, particularly around the positive and negative effects of the natural environment on human health and well-being and primarily within a UK context. In addition to exploring the potential increasing risks to human health from water-borne and vector-borne diseases and from exposure to aeroallergens such as pollen, this paper also demonstrates the potential opportunities and co-benefits to human physical and mental health from interacting with the natural environment. The involvement of a Health and Environment Public Engagement (HEPE) group as a public forum of "critical friends" has proven useful for prioritising and exploring some of this research; such public involvement is essential to minimise public health risks and maximise the benefits which are identified from this research into environmental change and human health. Research gaps are identified and recommendations

show abstract

Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe

Cited by 233 publications

References 26 publications

Differences in Reporting the Ragweed Pollen Season Using Google Trends across 15 Countries

Differences in Reporting the Ragweed Pollen Season Using Google Trends across 15 Countries

A prognostic pollen emissions model for climate models (PECM1.0)

Beyond Climate Change and Health: Integrating Broader Environmental Change and Natural Environments for Public Health Protection and Promotion in the UK

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About