PURPOSE The wide heterogeneity in multiple myeloma (MM) outcome is driven mainly by cytogenetic abnormalities. The current definition of high-risk profile is restrictive and oversimplified. To adapt MM treatment to risk, we need to better define a cytogenetic risk classification. To address this issue, we simultaneously examined the prognostic impact of del(17p); t(4;14); del(1p32); 1q21 gain; and trisomies 3, 5, and 21 in a cohort of newly diagnosed patients with MM. METHODS Data were obtained from 1,635 patients enrolled in four trials implemented by the Intergroupe Francophone du Myélome. The oldest collection of data were used for model development and internal validation. For external validation, one of the two independent data sets was used to assess the performance of the model in patients treated with more current regimens. Six cytogenetic abnormalities were identified as clinically relevant, and a prognostic index (PI) that was based on the parameter estimates of the multivariable Cox model was computed for all patients. RESULTS In all data sets, a higher PI was consistently associated with a poor survival outcome. Dependent on the validation cohorts used, hazard ratios for patients in the high-risk category for death were between six and 15 times higher than those of patients in the low-risk category. Among patients with t(4;14) or del(17p), we observed a worse survival in those classified in the high-risk category than in those in the intermediate-risk category. The PI showed good performance for discriminating between patients who died and those who survived (Harrell’s concordance index greater than 70%). CONCLUSION The cytogenetic PI improves the classification of newly diagnosed patients with MM in the high-risk group compared with current classifications. These findings may facilitate the development of risk-adapted treatment strategies.
We report a multicentre retrospective study that analysed clinical characteristics and outcomes in 117 patients with primary plasma cell leukaemia (pPCL) treated at the participating institutions between January 2006 and December 2016. The median age at the time of pPCL diagnosis was 61 years. Ninety-eight patients were treated with novel agents, with an overall response rate of 78%. Fifty-five patients (64%) patients underwent upfront autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT). The median follow-up time was 50 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 33; 76), with a median overall survival (OS) for the entire group of 23 months (95% CI 15; 34). The median OS time in patients who underwent upfront ASCT was 35 months (95% CI 24·3; 46) as compared to 13 months (95% CI 6·3; 35·8) in patients who did not receive ASCT (P = 0·001). Multivariate analyses identified age ≥60 years, platelet count ≤100 × 10 /l and peripheral blood plasma cell count ≥20 × 10 /l as independent predictors of worse survival. The median OS in patients with 0, 1 or 2-3 of these risk factors was 46, 27 and 12 months, respectively (P < 0·001). Our findings support the use of novel agents and ASCT as frontline treatment in patients with pPCL. The constructed prognostic score should be independently validated.
Luciano et al. generate transgenic mice expressing the Bcl-B gene under the control of the VH promoter and Eµ enhancer and show that these mice recapitulate the characteristic features of human MM.
Immunoglobulin G (IgG) metabolism has received much attention in the literature for two reasons: (i) IgG homeostasis is regulated by the neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn), by a pH-dependent and saturable recycling process, which presents an interesting biological system; (ii) the IgG-FcRn interaction may be exploitable as a means for extending the plasma half-life of therapeutic monoclonal antibodies, which are primarily IgG-based. A less-studied problem is the importance of endogenous IgG metabolism in IgG multiple myeloma. In multiple myeloma, quantification of serum monoclonal immunoglobulin plays an important role in diagnosis, monitoring and response assessment. In order to investigate the dynamics of IgG in this setting, a mathematical model characterizing the metabolism of endogenous IgG in humans is required. A number of authors have proposed a two-compartment nonlinear model of IgG metabolism in which saturable recycling is described using Michaelis–Menten kinetics; however it may be difficult to estimate the model parameters from the limited experimental data that are available. The purpose of this study is to analyse the model alongside the available data from experiments in humans and estimate the model parameters. In order to achieve this aim we linearize the model and use several methods of model and parameter validation: stability analysis, structural identifiability analysis, and sensitivity analysis based on traditional sensitivity functions and generalized sensitivity functions. We find that all model parameters are identifiable, structurally and taking into account parameter correlations, when several types of model output are used for parameter estimation. Based on these analyses we estimate parameter values from the limited available data and compare them with previously published parameter values. Finally we show how the model can be applied in future studies of treatment effectiveness in IgG multiple myeloma with simulations of serum monoclonal IgG responses during treatment.
Multiple Myeloma (MM) is rare in young patients - especially before 40 years at diagnosis, representing less than 2% of all patients with MM. Little is known about the disease characteristics and prognosis of these patients. In this study we examined 214 patients diagnosed with MM ≤ 40 years old over 15 years, in the era of modern treatments. Among them, 189 patients had symptomatic MM. Disease characteristics were similar to older patients: 35% had anemia, 17% had renal impairment, and 13% hypercalcemia. The staging was ISS-1 in 52.4%, ISS-2 in 27.5% and ISS-3 in 20.1%. Overall, 18% of patients had high risk cytogenetics (del 17p and/or t(4;14)). Ninety percent of patients received intensive chemotherapy followed by autologous stem cell transplant, and 25% of patients had allogeneic stem cell transplantation predominantly at time of relapse. The median follow-up was 76 months, the estimated median overall survival was 14.5 years and the median PFS was 41 months. In multivariate analysis, bone lesions (HR=3.95; p=0.01), high ISS score (HR=2.14; p=0.03) and high-risk cytogenetics (HR=4.54; p<0.0001) were significant risk factors for poor outcomes. Among predefined time-dependent covariables, onset of progression (HR=13.2; p<0.0001) significantly shortened OS. At 5 years, Relative Survival compared to same age and sex matched individuals was 83.5%, and estimated Standardized Mortality Ratio was 69.9 (95%CI 52.7-91.1), confirming that MM dramatically shortens the survival of young patients despite an extended survival after diagnosis.
IPSS-R classifies cytogenetic abnormalities into five prognostic groups for survival. Monosomal karyotype (MK) is not a subgroup of IPSS-R. Additional prognostic information from MK in poor and very poor karyotype has been recently shown. The aim of our study was to determine the prognostic value of IPSS-R and MK for response and survival in AZA-treated high-risk MDS and AML with 20-30% of blasts patients. The study population included 154 patients who were classified according to IPSS-R. IPSS-R was not predictive of response (intermediate, 64%; poor, 44%; very poor, 56%; P 5 0.28) or survival (intermediate, 25 months; poor, 12 months; very poor, 11 months; P 5 0.14). Twenty-one patients (15%) presented with MK and had a median OS of 9 months. Patients with a very high IPSS-R score without MK had a median OS of 15 months, while patients with a high IPSS-R score without MK had a median OS of 13 months (P 5 0.18). We reclassified patients into the following three groups to include MK status: very high (MK only; OS median: 9 months), high (very high IPSS-R without MK and high IPSS-R without MK; OS median: 14 months) and intermediate (OS median: 25 months). As in recent publication including MK prognostic, we confirmed that this classification was predictive for survival in AZA treated patients (P 5 0.008). IPSS-R failed to discriminate between the prognostic subgroups. Stratification with MK has value in the prognosis of our cohort of AZA-treated patients. Am. J.
Isolated trisomy 8 (+8) is a frequent cytogenetic abnormality in the myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), but its characteristics are poorly reported. We performed a retrospective study of 138 MDS patients with isolated +8, classified or reclassified as MDS (excluding MDS/myeloproliferative neoplasm). Myeloproliferative (MP) features were defined by the repeated presence of one of the following: white blood cell count >10 × 10 /l, myelemia (presence of circulating immature granulocytes with a predominance of more mature forms) >2%, palpable splenomegaly. Fifty-four patients (39·1%) had MP features: 28 at diagnosis, 26 were acquired during evolution. MP forms had more EZH2 (33·3% vs. 12·0% in non-MP, P = 0·047), ASXL1 (66·7% vs. 42·3%, P = 0·048) and STAG2 mutations (77·8% vs. 21·7%, P = 0·006). Median event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were 25 and 27 months for patients with MP features at diagnosis, versus 28 (P = 0·15) and 39 months (P = 0·085) for those without MP features, respectively. Among the 57 patients who received hypomethylating agent (HMA), OS was lower in MP cases (13 months vs. 23 months in non-MP cases, P = 0.02). In conclusion, MP features are frequent in MDS with isolated +8. MP forms had more EZH2, ASXL1 and STAG2 mutations, responded poorly to HMA, and tended to have poorer survival than non-MP forms.
Background Streptococcus pneumoniae infection causes morbidity and mortality in multiple myeloma patients. Pneumococcal vaccination is commonly given to immunocompromised myeloma patients; however response data are sparse. Here, we present longitudinal response data to pneumococcal vaccination in multiple myeloma patients. Method Twenty‐eight multiple myeloma patients were included, 25 of whom were newly diagnosed. All the patients received two vaccines Prevnar13® and Pneumo23®. Serotype‐specific IgG was measured by ELISA for all 23 vaccine serotypes at baseline, and then sequentially at different time points postvaccination until treatment ended. Response to vaccination is available for 20 patients. The primary endpoint was the incidence rate of patients who obtained an isotype response serum concentration after vaccination. Secondary endpoints included detailed isotype increase, time to first increase, further assessment of a decreased anti‐pneumococcal serum concentrations following treatment including autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT), rate of infection with a special attention to pneumococcal infection. Results The median age was 66 years and the male to female ratio was 0.6. Anti‐pneumococcal capsular polysaccharide (anti‐PCP23) IgG, IgG2, IgA, and IgM responses were detected within 1 week postvaccination. Response to at least one subtype of antibody was obtained in 85% (n = 17) of patients, for at least two subtypes in 65% (n = 13), for at least three subtypes in 55% (n = 11), and 2 patients responded to all four subtypes. The median increase in the concentration of anti‐PCP23 isotypes was threefold following vaccination, with the highest increase observed when Pneumo23® was given more than 30 days after Prevnar13®. The anti‐pneumococcal geometric mean concentration decreased significantly for all subtypes over time independently of treatment approaches. Conclusion Myeloma has the ability to demonstrate a response to pneumococcal vaccine, independently of preexisting hypogammaglobulinemia and possibly of treatment‐induced immunodepression. We also observed a drop in the serum response overtime and following autologous transplantation. Further studies in larger sample are needed to understand the benefit of vaccination strategies in these patients.
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