Nowadays many financial derivatives, such as American or Bermudan options, are of early exercise type. Often the pricing of early exercise options gives rise to high-dimensional optimal stopping problems, since the dimension corresponds to the number of underlying assets. High-dimensional optimal stopping problems are, however, notoriously difficult to solve due to the well-known curse of dimensionality. In this work, we propose an algorithm for solving such problems, which is based on deep learning and computes, in the context of early exercise option pricing, both approximations of an optimal exercise strategy and the price of the considered option. The proposed algorithm can also be applied to optimal stopping problems that arise in other areas where the underlying stochastic process can be efficiently simulated. We present numerical results for a large number of example problems, which include the pricing of many high-dimensional American and Bermudan options, such as Bermudan max-call options in up to 5000 dimensions. Most of the obtained results are compared to reference values computed by exploiting the specific problem design or, where available, to reference values from the literature. These numerical results suggest that the proposed algorithm is highly effective in the case of many underlyings, in terms of both accuracy and speed.

In recent years deep artificial neural networks (DNNs) have been successfully employed in numerical simulations for a multitude of computational problems including, for example, object and face recognition, natural language processing, fraud detection, computational advertisement, and numerical approximations of partial differential equations (PDEs). These numerical simulations indicate that DNNs seem to have the fundamental flexibility to overcome the curse of dimensionality in the sense that the number of real parameters used to describe the DNN grows at most polynomially in both the reciprocal of the prescribed approximation accuracy ε > 0 and the dimension d ∈ N of the function which the DNN aims to approximate in such computational problems. There is also a large number of rigorous mathematical approximation results for artificial neural networks in the scientific literature but there are only a few special situations where results in the literature can rigorously justify the success of DNNs to approximate high-dimensional functions. The key contribution of this article is to reveal that DNNs do overcome the curse of dimensionality in the numerical approximation of Kolmogorov PDEs with constant diffusion and nonlinear drift coefficients. We prove that the number of parameters used to describe the employed DNN grows at most polynomially in both the reciprocal of the prescribed approximation accuracy ε > 0 and the PDE dimension d ∈ N. A crucial ingredient in our proof is the fact that the artificial neural network used to approximate the solution of the PDE is indeed a deep artificial neural network with a large number of hidden layers.

We show that if a sequence of piecewise affine linear processes converges in the strong sense with a positive rate to a stochastic process that is strongly Hölder continuous in time, then this sequence converges in the strong sense even with respect to much stronger Hölder norms and the convergence rate is essentially reduced by the Hölder exponent. Our first application hereof establishes pathwise convergence rates for spectral Galerkin approximations of stochastic partial differential equations. Our second application derives strong convergence rates of multilevel Monte Carlo approximations of expectations of Banach-space-valued stochastic processes.

In spite of the accomplishments of deep learning based algorithms in numerous applications and very broad corresponding research interest, at the moment there is still no rigorous understanding of the reasons why such algorithms produce useful results in certain situations. A thorough mathematical analysis of deep learning based algorithms seems to be crucial in order to improve our understanding and to make their implementation more effective and efficient. In this article we provide a mathematically rigorous full error analysis of deep learning based empirical risk minimisation with quadratic loss function in the probabilistically strong sense, where the underlying deep neural networks are trained using stochastic gradient descent with random initialisation. The convergence speed we obtain is presumably far from optimal and suffers under the curse of dimensionality. To the best of our knowledge, we establish, however, the first full error analysis in the scientific literature for a deep learning based algorithm in the probabilistically strong sense and, moreover, the first full error analysis in the scientific literature for a deep learning based algorithm where stochastic gradient descent with random initialisation is the employed optimisation method.

In this paper we propose and analyze explicit space-time discrete numerical approximations for additive space-time white noise driven stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with non-globally monotone nonlinearities such as the stochastic Burgers equation with space-time white noise. The main result of this paper proves that the proposed explicit space-time discrete approximation method converges strongly to the solution process of the stochastic Burgers equation with space-time white noise. To the best of our knowledge, the main result of this work is the first result in the literature which establishes strong convergence for a space-time discrete approximation method in the case of the stochastic Burgers equations with space-time white noise.